Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Varberg vs Sandviken

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Paskbergsvallen, Varberg
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Bohm K.
46'
Sub
Kiani A. In: Mahammed M.
Out: Kiani A.
54'
Harletun K.

AI Match Summary

Sandviken in this Superettan matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sandviken.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Varberg
30%
Draws
37%
Sandviken
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sandviken

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Varberg lately — more wins on the board than Sandviken.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Superettan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Varberg Clean Sheet 17%
Sandviken Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varberg Sandviken
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 15 11
Draws 5 7
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.79 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Superettan
Varberg vs Sandviken
0:1
Apr 12, 2026 Superettan
Sandviken vs Varberg
2:2
Oct 18, 2025 Superettan
Varberg vs Sandviken
0:0
May 31, 2025 Superettan
Sandviken vs Varberg
2:1
Nov 9, 2024 Superettan
Varberg vs Sandviken
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Varberg Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Sandviken Compare

Top Goalscorer Bohm K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varberg 31 / 100
Sandviken 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varberg Sandviken

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Varberg found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Sandviken let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Varberg stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Varberg VS Sandviken
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Varberg

(Home)
10 Sept
Varberg
0 : 2
Norrkoping
05 Sept
Varnamo
1 : 1
Varberg
30 Aug
Varberg
3 : 1
Oddevold
25 Aug
Orebro
2 : 1
Varberg
18 Aug
Boljan
0 : 5
Varberg
Page 1 of 6

Sandviken

(Away)
09 Sept
Sandviken
0 : 1
Oddevold
05 Sept
Helsingborg
0 : 2
Sandviken
30 Aug
Sandviken
1 : 1
Oster
23 Aug
Norrby
1 : 1
Sandviken
18 Aug
Karlstad
0 : 2
Sandviken
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norrkoping 24 16 4 4 45:15 52
2 Falkenberg 24 13 5 6 46:33 44
3 Ostersund 24 11 9 4 33:24 42
4 Varberg 24 12 5 7 41:31 41
5 Oddevold 24 9 9 6 37:32 36
6 Nordic United 24 9 9 6 37:36 36
7 Landskrona 23 9 7 7 31:25 34
8 Sandviken 23 9 6 8 38:30 33
9 Oster 23 10 3 10 34:34 33
10 Helsingborg 24 8 5 11 36:45 29
11 Varnamo 23 7 5 11 30:41 26
12 Ljungskile 24 6 7 11 29:35 25
13 Orebro 24 5 9 10 25:35 24
14 Norrby 24 4 11 9 28:35 23
15 Brage 23 5 7 11 36:44 22
16 Sundsvall 23 5 1 17 16:47 16
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)