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Varberg vs Sandviken - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Paskbergsvallen, Varberg
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Bohm K.
46'
Sub
Kiani A. In: Mahammed M.
Out: Kiani A.
54'
Harletun K.

AI Match Summary

Sandviken in this Superettan matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sandviken.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Varberg
35%
Draws
32%
Sandviken
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Varberg lately — more wins on the board than Sandviken.
  • Varberg are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Superettan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Varberg Clean Sheet 20%
Sandviken Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varberg Sandviken
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 13
Draws 8 6
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.86 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Superettan
Varberg vs Sandviken
0:1
Apr 12, 2026 Superettan
Sandviken vs Varberg
2:2
Oct 18, 2025 Superettan
Varberg vs Sandviken
0:0
May 31, 2025 Superettan
Sandviken vs Varberg
2:1
Nov 9, 2024 Superettan
Varberg vs Sandviken
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Varberg Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Sandviken Compare

Top Goalscorer Bohm K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varberg 42 / 100
Sandviken 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varberg Sandviken

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Varberg remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Varberg scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Sandviken's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Varberg VS Sandviken
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Varberg

(Home)
01 Nov
Varberg
2 : 2
Ljungskile
27 Oct
Landskrona
1 : 1
Varberg
19 Oct
Varberg
0 : 0
Helsingborg
10 Oct
Ostersund
1 : 1
Varberg
19 Sept
Varberg
3 : 2
Brage
Page 1 of 6

Sandviken

(Away)
31 Oct
Falkenberg
2 : 1
Sandviken
24 Oct
Varnamo
0 : 1
Sandviken
17 Oct
Sandviken
0 : 0
Ostersund
10 Oct
Landskrona
3 : 2
Sandviken
03 Oct
Sandviken
1 : 0
Sundsvall
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norrkoping 29 20 5 4 61:18 65
2 Falkenberg 29 16 6 7 54:39 54
3 Varberg 29 13 9 7 48:37 48
4 Ostersund 29 12 12 5 38:29 48
5 Landskrona 29 13 8 8 48:34 47
6 Oddevold 29 12 9 8 50:38 45
7 Oster 29 14 3 12 49:45 45
8 Nordic United 29 11 9 9 45:49 42
9 Sandviken 29 11 8 10 47:38 41
10 Varnamo 29 10 5 14 38:48 35
11 Helsingborg 29 8 8 13 37:51 32
12 Ljungskile 29 7 10 12 37:42 31
13 Orebro 29 6 11 12 32:44 29
14 Norrby 29 5 12 12 31:44 27
15 Brage 29 6 8 15 46:57 26
16 Sundsvall 29 6 1 22 21:69 19
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)