Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Varberg vs Varnamo

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Paskbergsvallen, Varberg
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Vidjeskog I.
44'
Sub
Lindner J. In: Zackrisson H.
Out: Lindner J.
56' Event
Broman G.
Assist: Winbo A.

AI Match Summary

The Superettan game between Varberg and Varnamo finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Varberg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Varberg
6%
Draws
4%
Varnamo
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Varberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Varberg come out ahead of Varnamo on wins alone.
  • Model gives Varberg a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Varberg Clean Sheet 20%
Varnamo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varberg Varnamo
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 15 5
Draws 4 6
Losses 8 18
Goals Scored 2.13 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 Superettan
Varberg vs Varnamo
3:2
Aug 19, 2023 Allsvenskan
Varberg vs Varnamo
0:3
May 9, 2023 Allsvenskan
Varnamo vs Varberg
3:1
Mar 11, 2023 Club Friendly
Varnamo vs Varberg
1:2
Sep 17, 2022 Allsvenskan
Varnamo vs Varberg
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Varberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Vidjeskog I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Broman G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Varnamo Compare

Top Goalscorer Andersson H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zulovic B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varberg 85 / 100
Varnamo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varberg Varnamo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Varnamo let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Varberg scored in 78% of their last 27 games.

Solid form: Varberg remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Varberg VS Varnamo
2.13 Goals Scored 0.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Varberg

(Home)
18 Jul
Oddevold
2 : 4
Varberg
11 Jul
Varberg
4 : 2
Norrby
27 Jun
Varberg
2 : 1
Oster
22 Jun
Varberg
2 : 3
Landskrona
15 Jun
Norrkoping
2 : 0
Varberg
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Varnamo

(Away)
25 Jul
Varnamo
0 : 0
Brage
19 Jul
Varnamo
2 : 3
Ljungskile
13 Jul
Varnamo
0 : 2
Naestved IF
28 Jun
Landskrona
1 : 0
Varnamo
21 Jun
Brage
5 : 1
Varnamo
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Falkenberg1694332:2431
2Varberg1593332:1930
3Norrkoping1592426:1029
4Ostersund1675426:2126
5Landskrona1574422:1625
6Nordic United1574425:2225
7Oster1572624:2523
8Helsingborg1572629:3123
9Ljungskile1664623:2122
10Oddevold1555528:2620
11Sandviken1654725:2519
12Norrby1639421:2318
13Brage1645728:2917
14Orebro1535713:2214
15Varnamo16321117:3411
16Sundsvall16301313:369
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)