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Varbergs GIF vs Onsala

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Hilvenius V.
90' Event
Lindstrom H.

AI Match Summary

Onsala in this Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Onsala.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Varbergs GIF
15%
Draws
39%
Onsala
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Varbergs GIF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Onsala lately — more wins on the board than Varbergs GIF.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Varbergs GIF Clean Sheet 17%
Onsala Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varbergs GIF Onsala
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 2 6
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 1.23 1.7
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2025 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Varbergs GIF vs Onsala
0:2
May 4, 2025 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Onsala vs Varbergs GIF
3:2
Oct 7, 2023 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Varbergs GIF vs Onsala
2:1
Jun 22, 2023 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Onsala vs Varbergs GIF
2:3
Sep 30, 2022 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Onsala vs Varbergs GIF
4:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Varbergs GIF Compare

Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Onsala Compare

Top Goalscorer Hilvenius V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lindstrom H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varbergs GIF 36 / 100
Onsala 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varbergs GIF Onsala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Onsala Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.

Varbergs GIF scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Onsala let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Varbergs GIF has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Onsala
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Varbergs GIF

(Home)
19 Oct
Lindome
3 : 5
Varbergs GIF
12 Oct
Varbergs GIF
1 : 0
Bergdalens IK
06 Oct
Varbergs GIF
3 : 5
Jonsereds
26 Sept
Boljan
0 : 0
Varbergs GIF
21 Sept
Qviding
3 : 0
Varbergs GIF
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Onsala

(Away)
19 Sept
BK Astrio
0 : 2
Onsala
12 Sept
Onsala
2 : 0
Galtabacks
05 Sept
Frolunda
3 : 1
Onsala
29 Aug
Onsala
0 : 2
Dalstorps
23 Aug
Onsala
1 : 4
Lindome
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Laholms 26 19 3 4 69:33 60
2 Tvaaker 26 17 6 3 70:24 57
3 Astorps 26 13 6 7 43:32 45
4 Onsala 26 13 5 8 64:41 44
5 Frolunda 26 13 3 10 50:50 42
6 Lindome 26 13 2 11 63:54 41
7 Qviding 26 11 5 10 57:48 38
8 Jonsereds 26 10 8 8 48:48 38
9 BK Astrio 26 10 6 10 55:44 36
10 Landvetter 26 10 3 13 47:55 33
11 Hestrafors 26 6 8 12 40:48 26
12 Boljan 26 6 5 15 33:59 23
13 Varbergs GIF 26 7 1 18 29:58 22
14 Bergdalens IK 26 2 3 21 25:99 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2025 (Relegation)