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Varbergs GIF vs Tvaaker

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Munther L.
42' Event
Gustafsson F.
55' Event
Johansson A.

AI Match Summary

Tvaaker in this Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-7 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tvaaker.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Varbergs GIF
30%
Draws
29%
Tvaaker
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Varbergs GIF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tvaaker lately — more wins on the board than Varbergs GIF.
  • Model gives Varbergs GIF a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Tvaaker here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Varbergs GIF Clean Sheet 19%
Tvaaker Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varbergs GIF Tvaaker
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 9 20
Draws 2 8
Losses 19 8
Goals Scored 1.23 2.19
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2025 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Tvaaker vs Varbergs GIF
2:0
Jun 6, 2025 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Varbergs GIF vs Tvaaker
0:7
Mar 25, 2023 Club Friendly
Tvaaker vs Varbergs GIF
4:0
Feb 11, 2020 Club Friendly
Tvaaker vs Varbergs GIF
3:0
Aug 19, 2017 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Varbergs GIF vs Tvaaker
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Varbergs GIF Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Tvaaker Compare

Top Goalscorer Munther L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gustafsson F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varbergs GIF 36 / 100
Tvaaker 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varbergs GIF Tvaaker

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Varbergs GIF's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Varbergs GIF stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Tvaaker's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 36 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tvaaker
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Varbergs GIF

(Home)
19 Oct
Lindome
3 : 5
Varbergs GIF
12 Oct
Varbergs GIF
1 : 0
Bergdalens IK
06 Oct
Varbergs GIF
3 : 5
Jonsereds
26 Sept
Boljan
0 : 0
Varbergs GIF
21 Sept
Qviding
3 : 0
Varbergs GIF
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Tvaaker

(Away)
20 Sept
Tvaaker
0 : 1
Trelleborg
17 Sept
Eskilsminne
4 : 2
Tvaaker
12 Sept
Tvaaker
0 : 0
AFC Malmo
06 Sept
Jonkoping
0 : 1
Tvaaker
29 Aug
Tvaaker
1 : 1
Skovde
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Laholms 26 19 3 4 69:33 60
2 Tvaaker 26 17 6 3 70:24 57
3 Astorps 26 13 6 7 43:32 45
4 Onsala 26 13 5 8 64:41 44
5 Frolunda 26 13 3 10 50:50 42
6 Lindome 26 13 2 11 63:54 41
7 Qviding 26 11 5 10 57:48 38
8 Jonsereds 26 10 8 8 48:48 38
9 BK Astrio 26 10 6 10 55:44 36
10 Landvetter 26 10 3 13 47:55 33
11 Hestrafors 26 6 8 12 40:48 26
12 Boljan 26 6 5 15 33:59 23
13 Varbergs GIF 26 7 1 18 29:58 22
14 Bergdalens IK 26 2 3 21 25:99 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2025 (Relegation)