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Vardar Negotino vs Bregalnica Stip

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bregalnica Stip in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-9 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bregalnica Stip.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Vardar Negotino
6%
Draws
90%
Bregalnica Stip
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Bregalnica Stip

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bregalnica Stip lately — more wins on the board than Vardar Negotino.
  • Win probability leans Bregalnica Stip's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Bregalnica Stip here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Vardar Negotino Clean Sheet 10%
Bregalnica Stip Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vardar Negotino Bregalnica Stip
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 5 25
Draws 4 4
Losses 20 4
Goals Scored 1.5 2.25
Goals Conceded 3.38 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.38 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 2. MFL
Bregalnica Stip vs Vardar Negotino
7:1
Feb 14, 2026 Club Friendly
Vardar Negotino vs Bregalnica Stip
1:9
Aug 30, 2025 2. MFL
Vardar Negotino vs Bregalnica Stip
0:2
Apr 12, 2025 2. MFL
Vardar Negotino vs Bregalnica Stip
1:0
Oct 26, 2024 2. MFL
Bregalnica Stip vs Vardar Negotino
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vardar Negotino 10 / 100
Bregalnica Stip 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vardar Negotino Bregalnica Stip

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BRE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.

Vardar Negotino's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Bregalnica Stip conceded in 48% of 33 recent games.

Vardar Negotino went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vardar Negotino VS Bregalnica Stip
1.5 Goals Scored 2.25
3.38 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vardar Negotino

(Home)
23 May
Vardar Negotino
0 : 5
Kozuf Gevgelija
16 May
Pobeda
3 : 5
Vardar Negotino
10 May
Vardar Negotino
0 : 4
Osogovo
02 May
Shkendija Haracine
8 : 2
Vardar Negotino
25 Apr
Vardar Negotino
1 : 4
Belasica Strumica
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Bregalnica Stip

(Away)
23 May
Bregalnica Stip
7 : 0
Pobeda
16 May
Osogovo
0 : 3
Bregalnica Stip
10 May
Bregalnica Stip
1 : 1
Shkendija Haracine
02 May
Belasica Strumica
0 : 1
Bregalnica Stip
25 Apr
Bregalnica Stip
4 : 1
Sloga Vinica
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