Sport Picks
Vardar Negotino vs Novaci Prediction & H2H Stats
North Macedonia
2. MFL 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
The 2. MFL 2025/2026 game between Vardar Negotino and Novaci finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Novaci.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Vardar Negotino haven't matched Novaci's recent run of results.
- Novaci are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vardar Negotino | Novaci |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 5 | 14 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 20 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.48 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 3.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.
Vardar Negotino's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Novaci has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.
Recent resilience: Vardar Negotino stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Vardar Negotino
(Home)Novaci
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bregalnica Stip | 30 | 22 | 5 | 3 | 72:17 | 71 |
| 2 | FK Skopje | 30 | 23 | 2 | 5 | 72:20 | 71 |
| 3 | Shkendija Haracine | 30 | 21 | 6 | 3 | 67:19 | 69 |
| 4 | Ohrid | 30 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 78:17 | 68 |
| 5 | Belasica Strumica | 30 | 18 | 4 | 8 | 57:21 | 58 |
| 6 | Osogovo | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 53:27 | 54 |
| 7 | Novaci | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 47:31 | 51 |
| 8 | Detonit Plackovica | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 52:28 | 49 |
| 9 | Kozuf Gevgelija | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 50:26 | 45 |
| 10 | Teteks | 30 | 13 | 3 | 14 | 56:44 | 42 |
| 11 | Kamenica Sasa | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 47:53 | 36 |
| 12 | Vardar Negotino | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 37:95 | 22 |
| 13 | Sloga Vinica | 30 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 31:84 | 15 |
| 14 | Prespa | 30 | 5 | 0 | 25 | 30:76 | 15 |
| 15 | Pobeda | 30 | 3 | 2 | 25 | 19:117 | 11 |
| 16 | Golemo Konjari | 30 | 2 | 1 | 27 | 17:110 | 7 |
