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Vardar Negotino vs Osogovo

North Macedonia North Macedonia

2. MFL 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 2. MFL 2025/2026 game between Vardar Negotino and Osogovo finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Osogovo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Vardar Negotino
6%
Draws
90%
Osogovo
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Osogovo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Osogovo come out ahead of Vardar Negotino on wins alone.
  • Model gives Osogovo a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Vardar Negotino Clean Sheet 10%
Osogovo Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vardar Negotino Osogovo
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 5 18
Draws 4 6
Losses 20 8
Goals Scored 0.88 2.5
Goals Conceded 3.5 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 2. MFL
Vardar Negotino vs Osogovo
0:4
Feb 13, 2026 Club Friendly
Vardar Negotino vs Osogovo
0:0
Nov 21, 2025 2. MFL
Osogovo vs Vardar Negotino
5:1
Jul 26, 2025 Club Friendly
Vardar Negotino vs Osogovo
0:2
Feb 15, 2025 2. MFL
Vardar Negotino vs Osogovo
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vardar Negotino 10 / 100
Osogovo 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vardar Negotino Osogovo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OSO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vardar Negotino scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Osogovo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 32 matches.

Vardar Negotino has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vardar Negotino VS Osogovo
0.88 Goals Scored 2.5
3.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bregalnica Stip30225372:1771
2FK Skopje30232572:2071
3Shkendija Haracine30216367:1969
4Ohrid30215478:1768
5Belasica Strumica30184857:2158
6Osogovo30166853:2754
7Novaci30156947:3151
8Detonit Plackovica30147952:2849
9Kozuf Gevgelija30129950:2645
10Teteks301331456:4442
11Kamenica Sasa30991247:5336
12Vardar Negotino30642037:9522
13Sloga Vinica30432331:8415
14Prespa30502530:7615
15Pobeda30322519:11711
16Golemo Konjari30212717:1107