Sport Picks
Vardar vs KF Gostivar Prediction & H2H Stats
North Macedonia
1. MFL 2024/2025 National Arena Toshe Proeski, Skopje 
AI Match Summary
Vardar host KF Gostivar in the 1. MFL 2024/2025. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Vardar at 2.03 goals for, 1 against; KF Gostivar at 1 for, 1.13 against. Past meetings favor Vardar slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 18, 2025, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.79 - 0.88) back Vardar to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Vardar come out ahead of KF Gostivar on wins alone.
- Vardar are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vardar | KF Gostivar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 18 | 12 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.03 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.79 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Solid form: Vardar remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
KF Gostivar's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.
Attacking prowess: Vardar scored in 78% of their last 32 outings.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Vardar
(Home)KF Gostivar
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shkendija Tetovo | 33 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 59:30 | 70 |
| 2 | Sileks | 33 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 57:19 | 67 |
| 3 | Rabotnicki | 33 | 15 | 11 | 7 | 38:21 | 56 |
| 4 | Struga | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 41:37 | 51 |
| 5 | Vardar | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 39:37 | 45 |
| 6 | Pelister | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 26:38 | 39 |
| 7 | Shkupi | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 47:47 | 38 |
| 8 | Tikves | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 25:33 | 34 |
| 9 | Brera Strumica | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 41:56 | 34 |
| 10 | Besa 1976 | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 34:53 | 33 |
| 11 | KF Gostivar | 33 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 36:34 | 21 |
| 12 | Voska Sport | 33 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 25:63 | -5 |
