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Stadium Background

Vardarac Vardaroc vs Karlovac

Croatia Croatia

Croatian Cup 2023/2024
Vardarac Vardaroc Logo

Vardarac Vardaroc

Wed, Aug 30, 2023
1 - 2
02:30 PM
Karlovac Logo

Karlovac

Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Paracki G.
75'
Drahotuski Z.
75'
Drahotuski Z.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Karlovac in this Croatian Cup 2023/2024 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Vardarac Vardaroc
22%
Draws
45%
Karlovac
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Karlovac

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Karlovac lately — more wins on the board than Vardarac Vardaroc.
  • 45% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Karlovac arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Karlovac, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Vardarac Vardaroc Clean Sheet 16%
Karlovac Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vardarac Vardaroc Karlovac
Matches Played 4 31
Wins 1 12
Draws 1 6
Losses 2 13
Goals Scored 1 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2023 Croatian Cup
Vardarac Vardaroc vs Karlovac
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vardarac Vardaroc Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Karlovac Compare

Top Goalscorer Paracki G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Stepinac G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vardarac Vardaroc 36 / 100
Karlovac 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vardarac Vardaroc Karlovac

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Karlovac Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karlovac let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Vardarac Vardaroc scored in 50% of their last 4 outings.

Vardarac Vardaroc has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vardarac Vardaroc VS Karlovac
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vardarac Vardaroc

(Home)
08 Sept
Vardarac Vardaroc
0 : 2
Hajduk Split
26 Aug
Vardarac Vardaroc
3 : 1
Liznjan
07 Feb
Mohacsi
0 : 0
Vardarac Vardaroc
30 Aug
Vardarac Vardaroc
1 : 2
Karlovac

Karlovac

(Away)
27 Sept
Segesta
1 : 1
Karlovac
20 Sept
Karlovac
0 : 1
Dubrava Zagreb
15 Sept
Bjelovar
0 : 2
Karlovac
12 Sept
Mladost Zdralovi
1 : 0
Karlovac
06 Sept
Karlovac
3 : 1
Hrvace
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Vukovar 1991 4
Granicar Kotoriba 0
TBD -
Bijelo Brdo -
Dugo Selo 3
Pitomaca 2
TBD -
Lok. Zagreb -
Vardarac Vardaroc 1
Karlovac 2
TBD -
Jaska Vinogradar -
Gospic 2
Kutjevo 4
TBD -
Osijek -
Granicar Zupanja 0
Croatia Zmijavci 3
TBD -
Rudes -
Jalzabet 1
Moslavina 3
TBD -
Slaven Belupo -
Cibalia -
TBD -
TBD -
NK Zagreb -
NK Libertas Novska 1
Medjimurec 0
TBD -
Rijeka -
NK Tomislav Drnje 1
Jadran Luka Ploce 4
Belisce 3
Novi Marof 0
Tigar Sveta Nedelja 0
Omladinac Gornja Vrba 2
TBD -
Hajduk Split -
Papuk Orahovica 1
Grobnican 29
TBD -
Varazdin -
Rudar Labin 2
Zagora 3
TBD -
Istra 1961 -
Jadran Porec 2
Mladost Zdralovi 1
TBD -
Oriolik -
Bilogora 0
Ponikve 2
TBD -
Din. Zagreb -
Zagorec Krapina 1
Omladinac Staro Topolje 0
TBD -
HNK Gorica -
Primorac Biograd 0
Radnik Krizevci 2
TBD -
Sibenik -
1/16-finals
Vukovar 1991 4
Bijelo Brdo 1
Dugo Selo 0
Lok. Zagreb 1
Karlovac 2
Jaska Vinogradar 1
Kutjevo 1
Osijek 4
Croatia Zmijavci 0
Rudes 1
Moslavina 2
Slaven Belupo 4
Cibalia 6
NK Zagreb 0
NK Libertas Novska 0
Rijeka 9
Jadran Luka Ploce 2
Belisce 1
Omladinac Gornja Vrba 0
Hajduk Split 6
Grobnican 0
Varazdin 1
Zagora 0
Istra 1961 2
Jadran Porec 0
Oriolik 1
Ponikve 1
Din. Zagreb 4
Zagorec Krapina 0
HNK Gorica 2
Radnik Krizevci 4
Sibenik 3
1/8-finals
Vukovar 1991 1
Lok. Zagreb 2
Karlovac 0
Osijek 1
Rudes 3
Slaven Belupo 1
Cibalia 1
Rijeka 3
Jadran Luka Ploce 0
Hajduk Split 2
Varazdin 3
Istra 1961 2
Oriolik 0
Din. Zagreb 8
HNK Gorica 4
Radnik Krizevci 0
Quarter-finals
Lok. Zagreb 1
Osijek 0
Rudes 0
Rijeka 1
Hajduk Split 5
Varazdin 0
Din. Zagreb 4
HNK Gorica 0
Semi-finals
Lok. Zagreb 0
Rijeka 1
Hajduk Split 0
Din. Zagreb 1
Final
Rijeka 1
Din. Zagreb 3