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Vardari Forino vs Veleshta

North Macedonia North Macedonia

2. MFL 2020/2021
Sat, Apr 10, 2021
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vardari Forino host Veleshta in the 2. MFL 2020/2021. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Vardari Forino at 1.1 goals for, 2.05 against; Veleshta at 1.24 for, 1.95 against. Head-to-head, Vardari Forino have won 1 to Veleshta's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 10, 2021, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.67 xG vs 1.43) point toward Veleshta. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Vardari Forino
20%
Draws
40%
Veleshta
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Veleshta carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Vardari Forino are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular 2. MFL 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Vardari Forino Clean Sheet 17%
Veleshta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vardari Forino Veleshta
Matches Played 21 37
Wins 4 11
Draws 4 6
Losses 13 20
Goals Scored 1.1 1.24
Goals Conceded 2.05 1.95
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2021 2. MFL
Vardari Forino vs Veleshta
0:0
Mar 6, 2021 2. MFL
Veleshta vs Vardari Forino
3:0
Oct 24, 2020 2. MFL
Vardari Forino vs Veleshta
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vardari Forino 84 / 100
Veleshta 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vardari Forino Veleshta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Veleshta's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 37 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.

Difficult form: Veleshta registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Vardari Forino's goal record stands at 48% scoring rate across 21 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Veleshta
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Vardari Forino

(Home)
06 Mar
Veleshta
3 : 0
Vardari Forino
27 Feb
Vardari Forino
0 : 3
KF Gostivar
13 Dec
Teteks
3 : 1
Vardari Forino
05 Dec
Vardari Forino
0 : 1
Ohrid
28 Nov
Kadino Skopje
1 : 1
Vardari Forino
Page 1 of 5

Veleshta

(Away)
14 May
Veleshta
1 : 2
KF Gostivar
07 May
Kadino Skopje
1 : 1
Veleshta
30 Apr
Besa 1976
8 : 1
Veleshta
23 Apr
Veleshta
2 : 3
Ohrid
16 Apr
FK Korab
3 : 1
Veleshta
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bregalnica Stip 27 23 4 0 73:18 73
2 Tikves 27 18 7 2 59:23 61
3 FK Pehchevo 27 12 6 9 41:33 42
4 Sloga Vinica 27 9 9 9 33:34 36
5 Kozuf Gevgelija 27 9 9 9 29:35 36
6 Kamenica Sasa 27 9 8 10 35:32 35
7 Osogovo 27 7 8 12 32:43 29
8 Pobeda 27 6 9 12 30:35 27
9 Plackovica 27 5 7 15 20:42 21
10 Rosoman 83 27 2 3 22 26:83 9
Promotion - 1. MFL 2021/2022 (Main)
Promotion - 1. MFL 2020/2021 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL 2020/2021 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Skopje 26 18 6 2 50:20 60
2 Ohrid 26 13 7 6 26:13 46
3 Veleshta 26 13 7 6 32:23 46
4 KF Gostivar 26 12 7 7 33:30 43
5 FK Korab 26 10 6 10 28:27 36
6 Kadino Skopje 26 7 7 12 24:24 28
7 Vellazerimi 26 7 6 13 26:34 27
8 Teteks 26 8 3 15 19:34 27
9 Drita 26 4 9 13 28:41 21
10 Vardari Forino 18 3 4 11 15:35 10
Promotion - 1. MFL 2021/2022 (Main)
Promotion - 1. MFL 2020/2021 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL 2020/2021 (Relegation)