Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vardari Forino vs Vellazerimi

North Macedonia North Macedonia

2. MFL 2020/2021
Sat, Nov 21, 2020
0 - 3
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vardari Forino host Vellazerimi in the 2. MFL 2020/2021. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Vellazerimi have shipped 1.93 goals a game lately, while Vardari Forino have conceded 2.05 and scored 1.1. Head-to-head, Vardari Forino have won 0 to Vellazerimi's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on May 15, 2021, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.17 - 0.93) back Vellazerimi to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Vardari Forino
15%
Draws
73%
Vellazerimi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vellazerimi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

12% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vellazerimi lately — more wins on the board than Vardari Forino.
  • Vardari Forino are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular 2. MFL 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Vardari Forino Clean Sheet 20%
Vellazerimi Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vardari Forino Vellazerimi
Matches Played 21 29
Wins 4 8
Draws 4 5
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.1 1
Goals Conceded 2.05 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2021 2. MFL
Vellazerimi vs Vardari Forino
0:0
Nov 21, 2020 2. MFL
Vardari Forino vs Vellazerimi
0:3
Sep 12, 2020 2. MFL
Vellazerimi vs Vardari Forino
2:0
Nov 23, 2019 2. MFL
Vardari Forino vs Vellazerimi
0:0
Sep 15, 2019 2. MFL
Vellazerimi vs Vardari Forino
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vardari Forino 85 / 100
Vellazerimi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vardari Forino Vellazerimi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vardari Forino Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Vellazerimi conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Vellazerimi has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Vardari Forino's goal record stands at 48% scoring rate across 21 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Vardari Forino VS Vellazerimi
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Vardari Forino

(Home)
06 Mar
Veleshta
3 : 0
Vardari Forino
27 Feb
Vardari Forino
0 : 3
KF Gostivar
13 Dec
Teteks
3 : 1
Vardari Forino
05 Dec
Vardari Forino
0 : 1
Ohrid
28 Nov
Kadino Skopje
1 : 1
Vardari Forino
Page 1 of 5

Vellazerimi

(Away)
02 Sept
Vellazerimi
0 : 14
Makedonija GP
23 Feb
Golemo Konjari
0 : 3
Vellazerimi
15 Feb
Vellazerimi
2 : 1
Shkendija Haracine
20 Sept
Vellazerimi
0 : 4
Pelister
08 Sept
Besa 1976
4 : 0
Vellazerimi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bregalnica Stip 27 23 4 0 73:18 73
2 Tikves 27 18 7 2 59:23 61
3 FK Pehchevo 27 12 6 9 41:33 42
4 Sloga Vinica 27 9 9 9 33:34 36
5 Kozuf Gevgelija 27 9 9 9 29:35 36
6 Kamenica Sasa 27 9 8 10 35:32 35
7 Osogovo 27 7 8 12 32:43 29
8 Pobeda 27 6 9 12 30:35 27
9 Plackovica 27 5 7 15 20:42 21
10 Rosoman 83 27 2 3 22 26:83 9
Promotion - 1. MFL 2021/2022 (Main)
Promotion - 1. MFL 2020/2021 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL 2020/2021 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Skopje 26 18 6 2 50:20 60
2 Ohrid 26 13 7 6 26:13 46
3 Veleshta 26 13 7 6 32:23 46
4 KF Gostivar 26 12 7 7 33:30 43
5 FK Korab 26 10 6 10 28:27 36
6 Kadino Skopje 26 7 7 12 24:24 28
7 Vellazerimi 26 7 6 13 26:34 27
8 Teteks 26 8 3 15 19:34 27
9 Drita 26 4 9 13 28:41 21
10 Vardari Forino 18 3 4 11 15:35 10
Promotion - 1. MFL 2021/2022 (Main)
Promotion - 1. MFL 2020/2021 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL 2020/2021 (Relegation)