Sport Picks
Varde vs Tarup-Paarup
Denmark
Landspokal Cup 2022/2023 
Match Events
17'
17'
Nissen K.
46'
46'
Mikkelsen K.
48'
48'
Nissen K.
AI Match Summary
Varde in this Landspokal Cup 2022/2023 tie, finishing 4-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
15%
21%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Varde
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
21%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Varde lately — more wins on the board than Tarup-Paarup.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Varde have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Varde, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Varde Clean Sheet 20%
Tarup-Paarup Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Varde | Tarup-Paarup |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 7 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 17 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.35 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.42 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 2, 2022 Betano Pokalen
Varde vs Tarup-Paarup
4:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Varde Compare
Top Goalscorer Nissen K.
3 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Tarup-Paarup Compare
Top Goalscorer Mikkelsen K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Dongsted M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Varde 36 / 100
Tarup-Paarup 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Varde Tarup-Paarup
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tarup-Paarup Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 7.00 goals per match.
Varde's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Tarup-Paarup has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Away concern: Tarup-Paarup has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Varde VS Tarup-Paarup
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
3.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Varde
(Home) 05 Aug
Varde
1 : 2 OKS Odense
06 Aug
Varde
0 : 6 Kolding IF
08 Aug
Kolding BK
4 : 0 Varde
30 Aug
Varde
0 : 2 Aarhus Fremad
02 Aug
Varde
4 : 3 Tarup-Paarup
Page 1 of 7
05 Aug
Varde
1 : 2 OKS Odense
06 Aug
Varde
0 : 6 Kolding IF
30 Aug
Varde
0 : 2 Aarhus Fremad
02 Aug
Varde
4 : 3 Tarup-Paarup
02 Sept
Varde
0 : 8 Horsens
Page 1 of 4
Tarup-Paarup
(Away) 05 Aug
Tarup-Paarup
0 : 3 Vejle
21 Feb
Tarup-Paarup
0 : 6 Naesby
06 Aug
Morud
3 : 2 Tarup-Paarup
30 Jul
Naesby
5 : 2 Tarup-Paarup
24 Feb
Tarup-Paarup
1 : 1 Naesby
Page 1 of 6
06 Aug
Morud
3 : 2 Tarup-Paarup
30 Jul
Naesby
5 : 2 Tarup-Paarup
06 Feb
SfB-Oure
4 : 0 Tarup-Paarup
02 Feb
Middelfart
4 : 0 Tarup-Paarup
02 Aug
Varde
4 : 3 Tarup-Paarup
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Varde 4
Tarup-Paarup 3
AIA-Tranbjerg 0
Aarhus Fremad 9
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brondby -
Culpa 2
Maribo BK 0
Boldklubben 1893 1
Roskilde 3
Tune 1
Tarnby FF 5
Fremad Amager 1
Hillerod 0
Mosede 0
Kastrup 3
FB 2
AB Copenhagen 4
Vatanspor 2
Lyseng 0
TBD -
Aarhus -
Dragor 0
BSF 5
KFUM BK Kobenhavn 1
Karlslunde 3
Saby 1
BK Frem 3
TBD -
Nordsjaelland -
Hedensted 1
Dalum IF 0
Norresundby 1
Thisted FC 5
Hvidovre IF 2
Helsingor 4
TBD -
Lyngby -
Aabenraa 1
SfB-Oure 2
Vejgaard 0
Hobro 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Copenhagen -
Kjellerup 1
Young Boys FD 4
Odder 2
Brabrand 3
Boldklubben 1909 0
Marienlyst 1
OKS Odense 1
Vejle 5
B73 Slagelse 0
Horsholm-Usserod 4
Tuse IF 2
Bornholm 1
Oster Hornum 0
Ringkobing 8
TBD -
Horsens -
Haarby 0
Naesby 3
Farso Ullits 1
Skive 4
Hellerup 0
Nykobing 1
TBD -
Odense -
Munkebo BK 0
Kerteminde BK 1
Skovshoved 0
Koge 4
Kolding IF 2
Esbjerg 0
Slagelse 0
Sonderjyske 5
Frederikshavn 3
ASA Aarhus 0
VSK Aarhus 1
Vendsyssel FF 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Randers FC -
Jyllinge 3
BK Union 0
Ringsted 0
Naestved IF 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Silkeborg -
Klitmoller 3
Jammerbugt 0
Saedding/Guldager IF 3
Marstal/Rise 2
Give Fremad 0
Middelfart 7
Broager UI 0
Fredericia 8
Boldklubben 1973 Herlev 1
Nakskov 5
Herlev 0
Vanlose 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aalborg -
LUIF 0
Bronshoj 6
Solrod FC 0
Ishoj IF 3
Vejlby Risskov 0
Viby 2
TBD -
Viborg -
Allerod 3
Roskilde KFUM 1
Avarta 1
Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Midtjylland -
1/32-finals
Varde 0
Aarhus Fremad 2
TBD -
Brondby -
Culpa 0
Roskilde 3
Tarnby FF 1
Fremad Amager 2
Kastrup 1
AB Copenhagen 2
Vatanspor 0
Aarhus 8
BSF 1
Karlslunde 0
BK Frem 0
Nordsjaelland 1
Hedensted 1
Thisted FC 2
Helsingor 2
Lyngby 0
SfB-Oure 0
Hobro 3
TBD -
FC Copenhagen -
Young Boys FD 0
Brabrand 1
Marienlyst 0
Vejle 3
Horsholm-Usserod 5
Tuse IF 0
Ringkobing 1
Horsens 2
Naesby 3
Skive 2
Nykobing 2
Odense 1
Kerteminde BK 1
Koge 2
Kolding IF 0
Sonderjyske 2
Frederikshavn 2
Vendsyssel FF 7
TBD -
Randers FC -
Jyllinge 0
Naestved IF 5
TBD -
Silkeborg -
Klitmoller 0
Saedding/Guldager IF 1
Middelfart 1
Fredericia 0
Nakskov 0
Vanlose 4
TBD -
Aalborg -
Bronshoj 1
Ishoj IF 5
Viby 0
Viborg 7
Allerod 0
Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000 3
TBD -
Midtjylland -
1/16-finals
Aarhus Fremad 4
Brondby 0
Roskilde 1
Fremad Amager 2
AB Copenhagen 0
Aarhus 3
BSF 0
Nordsjaelland 5
Thisted FC 2
Helsingor 1
Hobro 1
FC Copenhagen 2
Brabrand 0
Vejle 3
Horsholm-Usserod 1
Horsens 2
Naesby 1
Nykobing 2
Koge 1
Sonderjyske 4
Vendsyssel FF 0
Randers FC 2
Naestved IF 0
Silkeborg 3
Saedding/Guldager IF 0
Middelfart 6
Vanlose 1
Aalborg 3
Ishoj IF 2
Viborg 3
Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000 0
Midtjylland 6
1/8-finals
Aarhus Fremad 3
Fremad Amager 1
Aarhus 0
Nordsjaelland 2
Thisted FC 1
FC Copenhagen 3
Vejle 1
Horsens 0
Nykobing 1
Sonderjyske 2
Randers FC 1
Silkeborg 3
Middelfart 1
Aalborg 2
Viborg 3
Midtjylland 1
Quarter-finals
Aarhus Fremad 1
Nordsjaelland 7
FC Copenhagen 2
Vejle 0
Sonderjyske 2
Silkeborg 5
Aalborg 2
Viborg 1
Semi-finals
Nordsjaelland 6
FC Copenhagen 7
Silkeborg 2
Aalborg 5
Final
FC Copenhagen 1
Aalborg 0
