Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 16 game between Varea and CDFC La Calzada finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Varea.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Varea carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Varea here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Varea | CDFC La Calzada |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 9 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 5 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.69 | 1.62 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Varea Compare
CDFC La Calzada Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Solid form: Varea remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Varea scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: CDFC La Calzada conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Varea
(Home)CDFC La Calzada
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Haro Deportivo | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12:6 | 13 |
| 2 | Berceo | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14:5 | 12 |
| 3 | CDFC La Calzada | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | 12 |
| 4 | Alfaro | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:7 | 10 |
| 5 | Pradejon | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:7 | 10 |
| 6 | CD Calahorra | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14:7 | 9 |
| 7 | Agoncillo | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 8 |
| 8 | Varea | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4:3 | 7 |
| 9 | San Marcial | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4:4 | 6 |
| 10 | Yague | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | 6 |
| 11 | Cenicero | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | 5 |
| 12 | Anguiano | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | 5 |
| 13 | Oyonesa | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | 5 |
| 14 | Comillas CF | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:5 | 5 |
| 15 | Calasancio | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:12 | 5 |
| 16 | River Ebro | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:15 | 4 |
| 17 | Casalarreina CF | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:12 | 3 |
| 18 | Vianes | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5:10 | 1 |