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Varea vs Cenicero

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 16 2010/2011
Varea Logo

Varea

2 - 2
FT
Cenicero Logo

Cenicero

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 16 2010/2011 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Varea
20%
Draws
30%
Cenicero
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Varea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Varea have won more games recently than Cenicero.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Varea taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 16 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Varea here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Varea Clean Sheet 20%
Cenicero Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varea Cenicero
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 25 1
Draws 7 3
Losses 6 26
Goals Scored 1.84 0.37
Goals Conceded 0.71 2.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Cenicero vs Varea
0:1
Jan 9, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Varea vs Cenicero
5:1
Mar 20, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Varea vs Cenicero
2:2
Nov 7, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Cenicero vs Varea
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varea 85 / 100
Cenicero 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varea Cenicero

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varea Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Varea scored in 84% of their last 38 outings.

Defensive concern: Cenicero conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Varea remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Varea VS Cenicero
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Varea

(Home)
24 May
Varea
0 : 2
Oyonesa
17 May
Oyonesa
0 : 0
Varea
10 May
Varea
0 : 1
Oyonesa
03 May
Pradejon
0 : 1
Varea
26 Apr
Varea
0 : 0
Anguiano
Page 1 of 8

Cenicero

(Away)
01 May
Cenicero
0 : 1
Varea
24 Apr
Haro Deportivo
5 : 0
Cenicero
14 Apr
Cenicero
0 : 4
Oyonesa
10 Apr
CF Rapid
0 : 1
Cenicero
03 Apr
Cenicero
0 : 3
CD Calahorra B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Naxara 38 27 7 4 75:27 88
2 SD Logrones 38 28 4 6 80:29 88
3 Anguiano 38 24 8 6 64:26 80
4 Haro Deportivo 38 24 6 8 75:24 78
5 UD Logrones B 38 25 3 10 74:29 78
6 Arnedo 38 23 9 6 68:26 78
7 Alfaro 38 21 10 7 73:36 73
8 Oyonesa 38 20 10 8 72:40 70
9 CD Calahorra 38 16 11 11 55:37 59
10 River Ebro 38 15 10 13 47:46 55
11 Varea 38 15 8 15 57:42 53
12 Calasancio 38 8 13 17 31:47 37
13 Vianes 38 10 7 21 51:65 37
14 Berceo 38 9 6 23 33:52 33
15 San Marcial 38 8 8 22 30:71 32
16 Agoncillo 38 7 11 20 27:52 32
17 Pradejon 38 7 6 25 27:75 27
18 Aldeano 38 8 0 30 30:111 24
19 Cenicero 38 5 8 25 29:84 23
20 AF Calahorra 38 5 5 28 27:106 20
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)