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Varegg vs Forde - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 3
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Varegg host Forde in the Division 3 - Group 3. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Forde have shipped 2.41 goals a game lately, while Varegg have conceded 2.21 and scored 1.62. Past meetings favor Varegg slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2026, ending 3:1. The numbers (2.50 xG vs 1.94) point toward Forde. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Varegg
20%
Draws
23%
Forde
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Varegg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Forde carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Varegg are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Varegg Clean Sheet 10%
Forde Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varegg Forde
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 12
Draws 6 4
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.62 2.21
Goals Conceded 2.21 2.41
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Division 3 - Group 3
Forde vs Varegg
3:1
Sep 15, 2018 Division 3 - Group 4
Varegg vs Forde
0:0
May 26, 2018 Division 3 - Group 4
Forde vs Varegg
2:2
Oct 21, 2017 Division 3 - Group 4
Varegg vs Forde
4:2
Jul 9, 2017 Division 3 - Group 4
Forde vs Varegg
3:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varegg 65 / 100
Forde 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varegg Forde

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varegg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Varegg's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Forde let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Varegg has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Varegg VS Forde
1.88 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 3.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Varegg

(Home)
10 Oct
Varegg
2 : 3
Stord
03 Oct
Brann 2
1 : 2
Varegg
26 Sept
Varegg
4 : 2
OS TF
19 Sept
Gneist IL
2 : 2
Varegg
12 Sept
Varegg
2 : 0
Sogndal 2
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Forde

(Away)
10 Oct
Austevoll
3 : 2
Forde
03 Oct
Forde
6 : 2
Fyllingsdalen
26 Sept
Asane 2
2 : 2
Forde
19 Sept
Forde
0 : 3
Fana
16 Sept
Forde
3 : 4
Aalesund
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