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Varegg vs OS TF

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 4 2017 game between Varegg and OS TF finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Varegg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Varegg
22%
Draws
60%
OS TF
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: OS TF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • OS TF carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans OS TF's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Varegg have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Varegg Clean Sheet 10%
OS TF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varegg OS TF
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 4 16
Draws 5 2
Losses 20 11
Goals Scored 1 3.63
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 3.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2017 Division 3 - Group 4
Varegg vs OS TF
2:1
May 13, 2017 Division 3 - Group 4
OS TF vs Varegg
0:2
Oct 8, 2016 Division 3 - Group 7
Varegg vs OS TF
3:1
Jun 15, 2016 Division 3 - Group 7
OS TF vs Varegg
1:3
Aug 3, 2014 Division 3 - Group 7
OS TF vs Varegg
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varegg 18 / 100
OS TF 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varegg OS TF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OST Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: OS TF conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Varegg's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Varegg has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Varegg VS OS TF
1 Goals Scored 3.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Varegg

(Home)
28 Jun
Varegg
1 : 1
V. Haugesund
20 Jun
Stord
1 : 1
Varegg
13 Jun
Varegg
0 : 1
Gneist IL
30 May
Djerv 1919
3 : 2
Varegg
16 May
Varegg
0 : 2
Asane 2
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OS TF

(Away)
25 Jun
Asane 2
3 : 5
OS TF
20 Jun
OS TF
5 : 2
Brann 2
13 Jun
Askoy
3 : 0
OS TF
29 May
OS TF
4 : 2
Austevoll
23 May
Forde
2 : 1
OS TF
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