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Varegg vs OS TF - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Kvalvagnes D.
47' Event
Hauge O.
58' Event
Waraas A.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 3 game between Varegg and OS TF finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Varegg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Varegg
30%
Draws
19%
OS TF
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Varegg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • OS TF carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Varegg's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
  • History favors Varegg here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Varegg Clean Sheet 10%
OS TF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varegg OS TF
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 19
Draws 6 2
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 1.5 3.03
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Division 3 - Group 3
Varegg vs OS TF
4:2
Jul 26, 2026 Division 3 - Group 3
OS TF vs Varegg
4:0
Aug 26, 2017 Division 3 - Group 4
Varegg vs OS TF
2:1
May 13, 2017 Division 3 - Group 4
OS TF vs Varegg
0:2
Oct 8, 2016 Division 3 - Group 7
Varegg vs OS TF
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Varegg Compare

Top Goalscorer Hagesaeter J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hauge O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

OS TF Compare

Top Goalscorer Kvalvagnes D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sivertsen M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varegg 56 / 100
OS TF 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varegg OS TF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varegg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Varegg stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Varegg scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: OS TF conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Varegg VS OS TF
2.13 Goals Scored 2.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Varegg

(Home)
03 Oct
Brann 2
1 : 2
Varegg
26 Sept
Varegg
4 : 2
OS TF
19 Sept
Gneist IL
2 : 2
Varegg
12 Sept
Varegg
2 : 0
Sogndal 2
05 Sept
Austevoll
2 : 2
Varegg
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OS TF

(Away)
03 Oct
OS TF
0 : 0
Askoy
26 Sept
Varegg
4 : 2
OS TF
21 Sept
OS TF
3 : 2
Asane 2
16 Sept
OS TF
1 : 2
Brann
12 Sept
Fana
3 : 2
OS TF
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