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Varegg vs Sogndal 2

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

68' Event
Brandtun M.
76' Event
Fackrell T.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 3 game between Varegg and Sogndal 2 finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Varegg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Varegg
20%
Draws
22%
Sogndal 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Varegg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

22% / Low Confidence
  • Varegg haven't matched Sogndal 2's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Sogndal 2's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • Sogndal 2 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Varegg Clean Sheet 10%
Sogndal 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varegg Sogndal 2
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 11
Draws 6 6
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 1.43 2.53
Goals Conceded 2.3 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Division 3 - Group 3
Varegg vs Sogndal 2
2:0
Aug 18, 2026 Division 3 - Group 3
Sogndal 2 vs Varegg
3:1
Oct 8, 2018 Division 3 - Group 4
Varegg vs Sogndal 2
0:5
Jun 16, 2018 Division 3 - Group 4
Sogndal 2 vs Varegg
1:0
Aug 19, 2013 Division 3 - Group 8
Varegg vs Sogndal 2
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Varegg Compare

Top Goalscorer Brandtun M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fackrell T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Sogndal 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varegg 18 / 100
Sogndal 2 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varegg Sogndal 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sogndal 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sogndal 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Varegg scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Varegg has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Varegg VS Sogndal 2
1.88 Goals Scored 2.63
2 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Varegg

(Home)
26 Sept
Varegg
4 : 2
OS TF
19 Sept
Gneist IL
2 : 2
Varegg
12 Sept
Varegg
2 : 0
Sogndal 2
05 Sept
Austevoll
2 : 2
Varegg
30 Aug
Varegg
1 : 2
Djerv 1919
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Sogndal 2

(Away)
26 Sept
Djerv 1919
2 : 1
Sogndal 2
19 Sept
Sogndal 2
2 : 4
V. Haugesund
12 Sept
Varegg
2 : 0
Sogndal 2
05 Sept
Sogndal 2
7 : 0
Fyllingsdalen
31 Aug
Asane 2
4 : 3
Sogndal 2
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