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Varegg vs Vadmyra

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 7 2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 7 2014 game between Varegg and Vadmyra finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Varegg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Varegg
35%
Draws
25%
Vadmyra
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Varegg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Varegg carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Varegg are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Varegg Clean Sheet 10%
Vadmyra Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varegg Vadmyra
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 5 9
Losses 18 15
Goals Scored 1.34 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.47 2.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2015 Division 3 - Group 7
Varegg vs Vadmyra
3:0
Apr 13, 2015 Division 3 - Group 7
Vadmyra vs Varegg
0:3
Oct 11, 2014 Division 3 - Group 7
Varegg vs Vadmyra
2:1
Jun 21, 2014 Division 3 - Group 7
Vadmyra vs Varegg
2:2
Sep 28, 2013 Division 3 - Group 8
Varegg vs Vadmyra
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varegg 83 / 100
Vadmyra 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varegg Vadmyra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Vadmyra conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Varegg scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Varegg remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Varegg VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
2.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Varegg

(Home)
08 Aug
Fyllingsdalen
0 : 4
Varegg
02 Aug
Varegg
4 : 2
Fana
26 Jul
OS TF
4 : 0
Varegg
28 Jun
Varegg
1 : 1
V. Haugesund
20 Jun
Stord
1 : 1
Varegg
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Vadmyra

(Away)
24 Oct
Vadmyra
2 : 2
Oystese
17 Oct
Austevoll
6 : 1
Vadmyra
12 Oct
Vadmyra
2 : 3
Nest-Sotra 2
03 Oct
Lyngbo
1 : 1
Vadmyra
28 Sept
Vadmyra
4 : 3
Arna-Bjornar
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