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Varese vs AC Chieri

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2017/2018
Varese Logo

Varese

1 - 1
FT
AC Chieri Logo

AC Chieri

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 game between Varese and AC Chieri finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Varese
20%
Draws
51%
AC Chieri
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AC Chieri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AC Chieri come out ahead of Varese on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Varese Clean Sheet 20%
AC Chieri Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varese AC Chieri
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 5 10
Draws 15 11
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.17 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2018 Serie D - Group A
Varese vs AC Chieri
1:1
Dec 10, 2017 Serie D - Group A
AC Chieri vs Varese
2:1
Apr 9, 2017 Serie D - Group A
AC Chieri vs Varese
0:1
Nov 27, 2016 Serie D - Group A
Varese vs AC Chieri
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varese 32 / 100
AC Chieri 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varese AC Chieri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Varese scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

AC Chieri's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 36 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Varese remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS AC Chieri
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Varese

(Home)
13 May
OltrepoVoghera
2 : 0
Varese
06 May
Varesina
2 : 1
Varese
29 Apr
Varese
1 : 1
AC Chieri
22 Apr
Varese
2 : 0
Castellazzo
15 Apr
Seregno Calcio
2 : 1
Varese
Page 1 of 6

AC Chieri

(Away)
11 May
Cairese
2 : 0
AC Chieri
04 May
AC Chieri
3 : 1
Borgaro
27 Apr
Fossano
0 : 1
AC Chieri
17 Apr
AC Chieri
1 : 2
Sanremese
13 Apr
Ligorna
1 : 1
AC Chieri
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gozzano 38 25 7 6 68:25 82
2 Como 38 25 6 7 58:27 81
3 Caronnese 38 21 11 6 62:30 74
4 AC Chieri 38 19 14 5 64:37 71
5 Pro Sesto 38 20 7 11 69:43 67
6 Folgore Caratese 38 14 14 10 45:39 56
7 Inveruno 38 14 10 14 44:48 52
8 Borgosesia Calcio 38 14 9 15 40:39 51
9 Arconatese 38 14 8 16 37:46 50
10 Bra 38 13 10 15 45:51 49
11 Pavia 38 12 11 15 53:58 47
12 Borgaro 38 11 13 14 35:44 46
13 Olginatese 38 9 18 11 37:44 45
14 Seregno Calcio 38 10 14 14 45:54 44
15 OltrepoVoghera 38 9 16 13 34:47 43
16 Casale 38 10 12 16 41:48 42
17 Varesina 38 10 11 17 33:45 41
18 Varese 38 8 16 14 47:49 40
19 Calcio Derthona 38 5 11 22 25:62 26
20 Castellazzo 38 3 10 25 32:78 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Play Offs)