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Varese vs Inveruno

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2017/2018
Varese Logo

Varese

1 - 1
FT
Inveruno Logo

Inveruno

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Varese
20%
Draws
40%
Inveruno
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Varese lately — more wins on the board than Inveruno.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Varese Clean Sheet 20%
Inveruno Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varese Inveruno
Matches Played 30 20
Wins 5 2
Draws 15 4
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.17 0.95
Goals Conceded 1.2 2.05
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2018 Serie D - Group A
Varese vs Inveruno
1:1
Sep 24, 2017 Serie D - Group A
Inveruno vs Varese
1:0
Jan 22, 2017 Serie D - Group A
Varese vs Inveruno
4:5
Sep 18, 2016 Serie D - Group A
Inveruno vs Varese
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varese 32 / 100
Inveruno 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varese Inveruno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Inveruno has conceded goals in 100% of their last 20 outings.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Varese found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Difficult form: Inveruno registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Inveruno
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Varese

(Home)
13 May
OltrepoVoghera
2 : 0
Varese
06 May
Varesina
2 : 1
Varese
29 Apr
Varese
1 : 1
AC Chieri
22 Apr
Varese
2 : 0
Castellazzo
15 Apr
Seregno Calcio
2 : 1
Varese
Page 1 of 6

Inveruno

(Away)
16 Feb
Inveruno
1 : 2
Bustese Milano City
09 Feb
NibionnOggiono
1 : 1
Inveruno
02 Feb
Inveruno
2 : 1
Folgore Caratese
26 Jan
Levico Terme
1 : 0
Inveruno
19 Jan
Inveruno
0 : 3
Legnano
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gozzano 38 25 7 6 68:25 82
2 Como 38 25 6 7 58:27 81
3 Caronnese 38 21 11 6 62:30 74
4 AC Chieri 38 19 14 5 64:37 71
5 Pro Sesto 38 20 7 11 69:43 67
6 Folgore Caratese 38 14 14 10 45:39 56
7 Inveruno 38 14 10 14 44:48 52
8 Borgosesia Calcio 38 14 9 15 40:39 51
9 Arconatese 38 14 8 16 37:46 50
10 Bra 38 13 10 15 45:51 49
11 Pavia 38 12 11 15 53:58 47
12 Borgaro 38 11 13 14 35:44 46
13 Olginatese 38 9 18 11 37:44 45
14 Seregno Calcio 38 10 14 14 45:54 44
15 OltrepoVoghera 38 9 16 13 34:47 43
16 Casale 38 10 12 16 41:48 42
17 Varesina 38 10 11 17 33:45 41
18 Varese 38 8 16 14 47:49 40
19 Calcio Derthona 38 5 11 22 25:62 26
20 Castellazzo 38 3 10 25 32:78 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Play Offs)