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Varesina vs MapelloBonate Prediction & H2H Stats

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Serie D - Group B 2015/2016
Varesina Logo

Varesina

2 - 1
FT
MapelloBonate Logo

MapelloBonate

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Varesina in this Serie D - Group B 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Varesina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Varesina
20%
Draws
40%
MapelloBonate
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Varesina have won more games recently than MapelloBonate.
  • Varesina are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Varesina Clean Sheet 20%
MapelloBonate Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varesina MapelloBonate
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 4
Draws 10 8
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.1 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2016 Serie D - Group B
MapelloBonate vs Varesina
0:0
Dec 20, 2015 Serie D - Group B
Varesina vs MapelloBonate
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varesina 36 / 100
MapelloBonate 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varesina MapelloBonate

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

MapelloBonate let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Varesina scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

MapelloBonate lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Varesina VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Varesina

(Home)
27 Sept
USD Casatese
4 : 2
Varesina
20 Sept
Varesina
0 : 1
Pistoiese
16 Sept
Correggese
2 : 1
Varesina
13 Sept
Sant'Angelo
1 : 1
Varesina
06 Sept
Varesina
3 : 2
Cittadella Vis Modena
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MapelloBonate

(Away)
08 May
MapelloBonate
0 : 0
Varesina
01 May
Olginatese
2 : 1
MapelloBonate
24 Apr
MapelloBonate
0 : 2
Monza
17 Apr
Pergolettese
0 : 2
MapelloBonate
10 Apr
MapelloBonate
0 : 1
Ciliverghe Mazzano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Piacenza 38 30 6 2 85:27 96
2 Lecco 38 23 11 4 83:41 80
3 Seregno Calcio 38 18 10 10 63:47 64
4 Ciliverghe Mazzano 38 18 7 13 48:49 61
5 Ponte San Pietro 38 17 10 11 63:48 61
6 Olginatese 38 15 11 12 57:50 56
7 Inveruno 38 15 8 15 65:57 53
8 Ciserano 38 13 14 11 48:55 53
9 Folgore Caratese 38 11 17 10 52:48 50
10 Monza 38 12 13 13 52:49 49
11 Grumellese 38 12 12 14 49:53 48
12 Pro Sesto 38 13 8 17 50:51 47
13 Varesina 38 11 14 13 42:49 47
14 Pergolettese 38 11 13 14 38:42 46
15 Bustese Milano City 38 11 12 15 47:58 45
16 Ciserano-Bergamo 38 12 9 17 44:61 45
17 Caravaggio 38 7 13 18 35:56 34
18 Fiorenzuola 38 5 18 15 28:51 33
19 MapelloBonate 38 6 13 19 36:59 31
20 Sondrio 38 6 9 23 39:73 27
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2015/2016 (Play Offs)