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Varesina vs Sona

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2022/2023
Varesina Logo

Varesina

0 - 0
FT
Sona Logo

Sona

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Varesina
30%
Draws
37%
Sona
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Sona haven't matched Varesina's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Varesina Clean Sheet 68%
Sona Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varesina Sona
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 5
Draws 11 8
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.06 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Sona vs Varesina
3:2
Dec 11, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Varesina vs Sona
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varesina 41 / 100
Sona 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varesina Sona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varesina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Varesina scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Sona's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Varesina remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Varesina VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Varesina

(Home)
20 Sept
Varesina
0 : 1
Pistoiese
16 Sept
Correggese
2 : 1
Varesina
13 Sept
Sant'Angelo
1 : 1
Varesina
06 Sept
Varesina
3 : 2
Cittadella Vis Modena
10 May
Castellanzese
1 : 2
Varesina
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Sona

(Away)
07 May
Ponte San Pietro
3 : 3
Sona
30 Apr
Sona
1 : 1
Real Calepina
23 Apr
Sona
3 : 2
Varesina
16 Apr
Seregno Calcio
3 : 1
Sona
06 Apr
Sona
2 : 0
Caronnese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lumezzane 34 24 5 5 67:20 77
2 Alcione Milano 34 21 8 5 67:31 71
3 USD Casatese 34 16 11 7 38:26 59
4 Arconatese 34 16 9 9 54:37 57
5 Desenzano Calvina 34 15 8 11 47:41 53
6 Franciacorta 34 13 11 10 44:43 50
7 Ponte San Pietro 34 11 16 7 47:38 49
8 Ciserano-Bergamo 34 14 6 14 42:40 48
9 Brusaporto 34 12 11 11 43:38 47
10 Varesina 34 13 7 14 47:50 46
11 Villa Valle 34 9 14 11 40:47 41
12 Real Calepina 34 7 18 9 30:33 39
13 Folgore Caratese 34 10 9 15 37:46 39
14 Seregno Calcio 34 10 11 13 42:56 38
15 Breno 34 10 7 17 35:50 37
16 Varese FC 34 8 9 17 30:46 33
17 Sona 34 6 9 19 28:56 27
18 Caronnese 34 2 9 23 24:64 15
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 (Play Out)