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Varginha vs America TO

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Varginha in this Mineiro 3 2021 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Varginha
39%
Draws
31%
America TO
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to America TO lately — more wins on the board than Varginha.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • America TO arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Varginha, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Varginha Clean Sheet 20%
America TO Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varginha America TO
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 8 21
Draws 9 7
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 0.63 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 12, 2021 Mineiro 3
America TO vs Varginha
0:1
Dec 5, 2021 Mineiro 3
Varginha vs America TO
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varginha 31 / 100
America TO 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varginha America TO

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Varginha went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Varginha found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).

America TO has conceded goals in 47% of their last 34 outings.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Varginha VS America TO
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Varginha

(Home)
21 Jun
URT
1 : 2
Varginha
15 Jun
Varginha
2 : 2
Uberaba
08 Jun
Varginha
1 : 1
Caldense
02 Jun
Mamore
1 : 1
Varginha
28 May
Patrocinense
0 : 2
Varginha
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America TO

(Away)
04 Nov
Guarani-MG
3 : 0
America TO
26 Oct
America TO
1 : 0
Guarani-MG
19 Oct
America TO
2 : 0
Social
12 Oct
Boston City
0 : 2
America TO
05 Oct
America TO
0 : 1
Contagem
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Uberaba3
Boston City1
Santarritense0
Manchester Futebol1
America TO1
Pocos de Caldas1
Araxa0
Varginha1
Semi-finals
Uberaba3
Manchester Futebol0
America TO0
Varginha2
Final
Uberaba3
Varginha3