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Varginha vs Mamore

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Jhonatha
48' Event
Jhonatha
90' Event
Geovane

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 2 2025 game between Varginha and Mamore finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mamore.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Varginha
35%
Draws
28%
Mamore
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Varginha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Mamore carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Varginha are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Mineiro 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Mamore have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Varginha Clean Sheet 68%
Mamore Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varginha Mamore
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 9
Draws 9 10
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 0.87 0.84
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 2, 2025 Mineiro 2
Mamore vs Varginha
1:1
May 23, 2025 Mineiro 2
Varginha vs Mamore
1:3
Jun 22, 2024 Mineiro 2
Mamore vs Varginha
3:2
May 4, 2024 Mineiro 2
Varginha vs Mamore
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Varginha Compare

Top Goalscorer Paulo Marcelo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Mamore Compare

Top Goalscorer Jhonatha
2 Goals
Assists Leader Geovane
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varginha 59 / 100
Mamore 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varginha Mamore

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varginha Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Varginha has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Varginha scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Mamore let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Varginha VS Mamore
2 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 50%
100% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Varginha

(Home)
21 Jun
URT
1 : 2
Varginha
15 Jun
Varginha
2 : 2
Uberaba
08 Jun
Varginha
1 : 1
Caldense
02 Jun
Mamore
1 : 1
Varginha
28 May
Patrocinense
0 : 2
Varginha
Page 1 of 6

Mamore

(Away)
08 Aug
Democrata SL
3 : 1
Mamore
02 Aug
Mamore
1 : 2
Democrata SL
25 Jul
Uberaba
0 : 0
Mamore
18 Jul
Mamore
2 : 1
Uberaba
12 Jul
Mamore
1 : 0
Patrocinense
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Patrocinense 10 5 2 3 7:6 17
2 URT 10 4 4 2 11:8 16
3 Mamore 10 3 4 3 11:11 13
4 Uberaba 10 2 5 3 11:11 11
5 Caldense 10 2 5 3 9:10 11
6 Varginha 10 2 4 4 9:12 10
Promotion - Mineiro 2 2025 (Final Stage)
Relegation - Mineiro 3 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ipatinga 10 5 2 3 11:10 17
2 North Esporte Clube 10 4 4 2 17:13 16
3 Democrata SL 10 3 4 3 9:8 13
4 Valeriodoce 10 3 4 3 12:12 13
5 Guarani-MG 10 3 3 4 10:10 12
6 Nacional de Muriae 10 2 3 5 10:16 9
Promotion - Mineiro 2 2025 (Final Stage)
Relegation - Mineiro 3 2025 (Main)