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Varginha vs Mamore

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Jhonatha
48' Event
Jhonatha
90' Event
Geovane

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 2 2025 game between Varginha and Mamore finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mamore.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Varginha
20%
Draws
38%
Mamore
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Varginha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Mamore carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Varginha are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Mineiro 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Mamore have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Varginha Clean Sheet 20%
Mamore Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varginha Mamore
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 9
Draws 9 11
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 2 0.38
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 2, 2025 Mineiro 2
Mamore vs Varginha
1:1
May 23, 2025 Mineiro 2
Varginha vs Mamore
1:3
Jun 22, 2024 Mineiro 2
Mamore vs Varginha
3:2
May 4, 2024 Mineiro 2
Varginha vs Mamore
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Varginha Compare

Top Goalscorer Paulo Marcelo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Mamore Compare

Top Goalscorer Jhonatha
2 Goals
Assists Leader Geovane
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varginha 42 / 100
Mamore 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varginha Mamore

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Varginha has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Varginha scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Mamore let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Varginha VS Mamore
2 Goals Scored 0.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 38%
100% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Patrocinense105237:617
2URT1044211:816
3Mamore1034311:1113
4Uberaba1025311:1111
5Caldense102539:1011
6Varginha102449:1210
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ipatinga1052311:1017
2North Esporte Clube1044217:1316
3Democrata SL103439:813
4Valeriodoce1034312:1213
5Guarani-MG1033410:1012
6Nacional de Muriae1023510:169