Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Varginha vs North Esporte Clube

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 2 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Xavier Boy L. A.

AI Match Summary

Varginha host North Esporte Clube in the Mineiro 2 2024. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Varginha at 2 goals for, 1 against; North Esporte Clube at 0.75 for, 0.25 against. Past meetings favor North Esporte Clube slightly — 1-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 10, 2024, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.13 - 0.88) back North Esporte Clube to edge this. North Esporte Clube in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Varginha
20%
Draws
38%
North Esporte Clube
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Varginha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • North Esporte Clube has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Varginha.
  • Model forecasts a 42% win probability edge for Varginha.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Mineiro 2 2024 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Varginha Clean Sheet 20%
North Esporte Clube Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varginha North Esporte Clube
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 7 16
Draws 9 11
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 2 0.75
Goals Conceded 1 0.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2024 Mineiro 2
Varginha vs North Esporte Clube
1:0
May 15, 2024 Mineiro 2
North Esporte Clube vs Varginha
1:0
May 20, 2023 Mineiro 2
Varginha vs North Esporte Clube
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Varginha Compare

Top Goalscorer Xavier Boy L. A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

North Esporte Clube Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varginha 42 / 100
North Esporte Clube 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varginha North Esporte Clube

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Varginha scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

North Esporte Clube let in goals in 55% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 1.67 goals.

Varginha went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

North Esporte Clube lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Varginha VS North Esporte Clube
2 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.25
100% Over 1.5 25%
100% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Betim FC103528:714
2Aymores103439:913
3Valeriodoce1027110:813
4Nacional de Muriae1026214:1112
5Democrata SL102629:612
6Tupi-MG102445:1410
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1URT1054112:719
2North Esporte Clube106049:618
3Mamore104339:815
4Caldense102536:711
5Varginha101547:108
6Boa101548:138