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Varginha vs Santarritense

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Santarritense in this Mineiro 3 2021 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Santarritense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Varginha
30%
Draws
28%
Santarritense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Varginha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Santarritense at 0.95 per game, Varginha at 0.91.
  • Varginha are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Mineiro 3 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Varginha Clean Sheet 20%
Santarritense Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varginha Santarritense
Matches Played 32 20
Wins 8 8
Draws 9 7
Losses 15 5
Goals Scored 0.91 0.95
Goals Conceded 1.34 0.85
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 13, 2021 Mineiro 3
Varginha vs Santarritense
0:2
Sep 11, 2021 Mineiro 3
Santarritense vs Varginha
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varginha 85 / 100
Santarritense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varginha Santarritense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varginha Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Varginha stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Varginha scored in 63% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Santarritense registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Varginha VS Santarritense
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Varginha

(Home)
21 Jun
URT
1 : 2
Varginha
15 Jun
Varginha
2 : 2
Uberaba
08 Jun
Varginha
1 : 1
Caldense
02 Jun
Mamore
1 : 1
Varginha
28 May
Patrocinense
0 : 2
Varginha
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Santarritense

(Away)
21 Sept
Nacional de Muriae
3 : 0
Santarritense
29 Sept
Novo Esporte
4 : 0
Santarritense
25 Sept
Santarritense
2 : 1
Novo Esporte
17 Sept
Itabirito
2 : 0
Santarritense
10 Sept
Santarritense
2 : 0
Villa Real
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santarritense 8 4 3 1 9:4 15
2 Varginha 8 4 2 2 18:13 14
3 Pocos de Caldas 8 3 5 0 14:5 14
4 Tres Coracoes 8 3 1 4 9:15 10
5 Figueirense Esporte Clube 8 0 1 7 6:19 1
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uberaba 8 5 1 2 25:7 16
2 Araxa 8 4 2 2 17:7 14
3 Patrocinense 8 3 2 3 10:11 11
4 Inter de Minas 8 2 5 1 7:6 11
5 Araguari 8 0 2 6 2:30 2
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America TO 8 4 3 1 10:5 15
2 Manchester Futebol 8 4 2 2 10:5 14
3 Contagem 8 4 1 3 8:5 13
4 Boston City 8 4 1 3 11:7 13
5 Betis 8 0 1 7 3:20 1
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2021 (Play Offs)