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Varginha vs URT

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
Andrade da Silva R.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 2 2025 game between Varginha and URT finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward URT.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Varginha
28%
Draws
22%
URT
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Varginha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and URT come out ahead of Varginha on wins alone.
  • Varginha are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Varginha Clean Sheet 68%
URT Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varginha URT
Matches Played 32 35
Wins 8 16
Draws 10 11
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 2 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2025 Mineiro 2
URT vs Varginha
1:2
May 3, 2025 Mineiro 2
Varginha vs URT
0:1
Jun 5, 2024 Mineiro 2
URT vs Varginha
1:1
May 19, 2024 Mineiro 2
Varginha vs URT
1:1
May 13, 2023 Mineiro 2
URT vs Varginha
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varginha 59 / 100
URT 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varginha URT

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Varginha remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Varginha scored in 63% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

URT lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Varginha VS URT
2 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.38
100% Over 1.5 13%
100% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Varginha

(Home)
21 Jun
URT
1 : 2
Varginha
15 Jun
Varginha
2 : 2
Uberaba
08 Jun
Varginha
1 : 1
Caldense
02 Jun
Mamore
1 : 1
Varginha
28 May
Patrocinense
0 : 2
Varginha
Page 1 of 7

URT

(Away)
07 Mar
North Esporte Clube
1 : 0
URT
04 Mar
URT
1 : 2
North Esporte Clube
28 Feb
URT
3 : 1
Tombense
20 Feb
Tombense
0 : 1
URT
14 Feb
URT
1 : 2
Cruzeiro
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Patrocinense105237:617
2URT1044211:816
3Mamore1034311:1113
4Uberaba1025311:1111
5Caldense102539:1011
6Varginha102449:1210
Promotion - Mineiro 2 2025 (Final Stage)
Relegation - Mineiro 3 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ipatinga1052311:1017
2North Esporte Clube1044217:1316
3Democrata SL103439:813
4Valeriodoce1034312:1213
5Guarani-MG1033410:1012
6Nacional de Muriae1023510:169
Promotion - Mineiro 2 2025 (Final Stage)
Relegation - Mineiro 3 2025 (Main)