Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Varginha vs URT

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 2 2025
Varginha Logo

Varginha

0 - 1
FT
URT Logo

URT

Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
Andrade da Silva R.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 2 2025 game between Varginha and URT finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward URT.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Varginha
30%
Draws
28%
URT
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Varginha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and URT come out ahead of Varginha on wins alone.
  • Varginha are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Varginha Clean Sheet 68%
URT Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varginha URT
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 13
Draws 9 11
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 0.87 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.37 0.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2025 Mineiro 2
URT vs Varginha
1:2
May 3, 2025 Mineiro 2
Varginha vs URT
0:1
Jun 5, 2024 Mineiro 2
URT vs Varginha
1:1
May 19, 2024 Mineiro 2
Varginha vs URT
1:1
May 13, 2023 Mineiro 2
URT vs Varginha
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varginha 59 / 100
URT 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varginha URT

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varginha Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Varginha remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Varginha scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

URT lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Varginha VS URT
2 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.38
100% Over 1.5 13%
100% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Varginha

(Home)
21 Jun
URT
1 : 2
Varginha
15 Jun
Varginha
2 : 2
Uberaba
08 Jun
Varginha
1 : 1
Caldense
02 Jun
Mamore
1 : 1
Varginha
28 May
Patrocinense
0 : 2
Varginha
Page 1 of 6

URT

(Away)
07 Mar
North Esporte Clube
1 : 0
URT
04 Mar
URT
1 : 2
North Esporte Clube
28 Feb
URT
3 : 1
Tombense
20 Feb
Tombense
0 : 1
URT
14 Feb
URT
1 : 2
Cruzeiro
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Patrocinense 10 5 2 3 7:6 17
2 URT 10 4 4 2 11:8 16
3 Mamore 10 3 4 3 11:11 13
4 Uberaba 10 2 5 3 11:11 11
5 Caldense 10 2 5 3 9:10 11
6 Varginha 10 2 4 4 9:12 10
Promotion - Mineiro 2 2025 (Final Stage)
Relegation - Mineiro 3 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ipatinga 10 5 2 3 11:10 17
2 North Esporte Clube 10 4 4 2 17:13 16
3 Democrata SL 10 3 4 3 9:8 13
4 Valeriodoce 10 3 4 3 12:12 13
5 Guarani-MG 10 3 3 4 10:10 12
6 Nacional de Muriae 10 2 3 5 10:16 9
Promotion - Mineiro 2 2025 (Final Stage)
Relegation - Mineiro 3 2025 (Main)