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Varhaug vs Akra

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Skjaeveland V.
70' Event
Bo N.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Varhaug in this Division 3 - Group 4 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Varhaug.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Varhaug
15%
Draws
17%
Akra
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Varhaug

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Varhaug lately — more wins on the board than Akra.
  • 68% — that's where the model lands on Varhaug taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Varhaug Clean Sheet 14%
Akra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varhaug Akra
Matches Played 21 29
Wins 9 5
Draws 5 4
Losses 7 20
Goals Scored 1.76 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.67 3.24
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Division 3 - Group 4
Akra vs Varhaug
1:2
Apr 1, 2026 Division 3 - Group 4
Varhaug vs Akra
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Varhaug Compare

Top Goalscorer Skjaeveland V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Akra Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varhaug 84 / 100
Akra 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varhaug Akra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varhaug Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Akra conceded in 100% of 29 recent games.

Varhaug's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 21 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Varhaug has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Varhaug VS Akra
2.13 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 3.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Varhaug

(Home)
05 Sept
Varhaug
3 : 0
Brodd
30 Aug
Mandalskameratene
0 : 2
Varhaug
26 Aug
Varhaug
2 : 3
Sandnes Ulf
17 Aug
Varhaug
2 : 0
Stabaek 2
07 Aug
Akra
1 : 2
Varhaug
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Akra

(Away)
05 Sept
Vag
3 : 2
Akra
30 Aug
Akra
1 : 4
Flekkeroy
15 Aug
Vindbjart
6 : 0
Akra
07 Aug
Akra
1 : 2
Varhaug
01 Aug
Staal Jorpeland
3 : 4
Akra
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