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Varhaug vs Brodd

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Auestad R.
77' Event
Dalbye T.
89' Event

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 4 game between Varhaug and Brodd finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Varhaug.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Varhaug
15%
Draws
28%
Brodd
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Varhaug

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Brodd carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Varhaug's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Varhaug Clean Sheet 10%
Brodd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varhaug Brodd
Matches Played 21 30
Wins 9 11
Draws 5 4
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.76 2.23
Goals Conceded 1.67 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Division 3 - Group 4
Varhaug vs Brodd
3:0
Apr 25, 2026 Division 3 - Group 4
Brodd vs Varhaug
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Varhaug Compare

Top Goalscorer Auestad R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dalbye T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Brodd Compare

Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varhaug 83 / 100
Brodd 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varhaug Brodd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varhaug Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Brodd conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Varhaug's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 21 recent games.

Varhaug went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Varhaug VS Brodd
2.38 Goals Scored 2.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Varhaug

(Home)
05 Sept
Varhaug
3 : 0
Brodd
30 Aug
Mandalskameratene
0 : 2
Varhaug
26 Aug
Varhaug
2 : 3
Sandnes Ulf
17 Aug
Varhaug
2 : 0
Stabaek 2
07 Aug
Akra
1 : 2
Varhaug
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Brodd

(Away)
05 Sept
Varhaug
3 : 0
Brodd
02 Sept
Brodd
1 : 3
Viking
30 Aug
Brodd
3 : 1
Viking 2
15 Aug
Flekkeroy
0 : 1
Brodd
08 Aug
Mandalskameratene
2 : 1
Brodd
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