Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Varhaug vs Vag

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Schroter F.
62'
Shatri E.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 4 game between Varhaug and Vag finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vag.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Varhaug
15%
Draws
17%
Vag
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Varhaug

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vag come out ahead of Varhaug on wins alone.
  • Model gives Varhaug a 68% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Varhaug Clean Sheet 16%
Vag Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varhaug Vag
Matches Played 21 29
Wins 9 12
Draws 5 2
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.76 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2026 Division 3 - Group 4
Varhaug vs Vag
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Varhaug Compare

Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Vag Compare

Top Goalscorer Schroter F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varhaug 84 / 100
Vag 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varhaug Vag

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varhaug Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vag has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Varhaug's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 21 recent games.

Recent resilience: Varhaug stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Vag registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Varhaug VS Vag
2.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Varhaug

(Home)
05 Sept
Varhaug
3 : 0
Brodd
30 Aug
Mandalskameratene
0 : 2
Varhaug
26 Aug
Varhaug
2 : 3
Sandnes Ulf
17 Aug
Varhaug
2 : 0
Stabaek 2
07 Aug
Akra
1 : 2
Varhaug
Page 1 of 5

Vag

(Away)
05 Sept
Vag
3 : 2
Akra
30 Aug
Hinna
3 : 0
Vag
22 Aug
Vag
2 : 5
Egersund
15 Aug
Vag
1 : 2
Mandalskameratene
09 Aug
Stabaek 2
2 : 0
Vag
Page 1 of 6