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Varhaug vs Vag

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Schroter F.
62'
Shatri E.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 4 game between Varhaug and Vag finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vag.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Varhaug
22%
Draws
18%
Vag
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Varhaug

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vag come out ahead of Varhaug on wins alone.
  • Model gives Varhaug a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Varhaug Clean Sheet 19%
Vag Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varhaug Vag
Matches Played 14 30
Wins 5 14
Draws 4 2
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 1.63 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2026 Division 3 - Group 4
Varhaug vs Vag
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Varhaug Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Vag Compare

Top Goalscorer Schroter F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varhaug 58 / 100
Vag 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varhaug Vag

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vag has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Varhaug's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 14 recent games.

Recent resilience: Varhaug stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Varhaug VS Vag
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%