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Varmbols vs Aspudden Tellus

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Svealand 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Södra Svealand 2019 game between Varmbols and Aspudden Tellus finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aspudden Tellus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Varmbols
15%
Draws
85%
Aspudden Tellus
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aspudden Tellus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Aspudden Tellus carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Aspudden Tellus are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Division 2 - Södra Svealand 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Varmbols Clean Sheet 15%
Aspudden Tellus Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varmbols Aspudden Tellus
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 3 9
Draws 3 5
Losses 26 16
Goals Scored 0.88 1.33
Goals Conceded 2.97 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2019 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Varmbols vs Aspudden Tellus
1:2
May 29, 2019 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Aspudden Tellus vs Varmbols
2:2
Aug 25, 2018 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Aspudden Tellus vs Varmbols
0:2
May 5, 2018 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Varmbols vs Aspudden Tellus
1:3
Aug 20, 2016 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Aspudden Tellus vs Varmbols
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varmbols 10 / 100
Aspudden Tellus 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varmbols Aspudden Tellus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aspudden Tellus's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Attacking prowess: Varmbols scored in 53% of their last 32 outings.

Away concern: Aspudden Tellus has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Varmbols VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Varmbols

(Home)
16 Oct
Varmbols
0 : 3
Syrianska
08 Oct
Arameisk-Syrianska
3 : 0
Varmbols
02 Oct
Varmbols
0 : 2
Trosa-Vagnharads SK
25 Sept
Varmbols
1 : 2
IFK Eskilstuna
18 Sept
Assyriska FF
3 : 0
Varmbols
Page 1 of 7

Aspudden Tellus

(Away)
12 Oct
Motala
3 : 0
Aspudden Tellus
05 Oct
Aspudden Tellus
2 : 0
Assyriska FF
28 Sept
FC Stockholm Internazionale
1 : 2
Aspudden Tellus
22 Sept
Varmbols
1 : 2
Aspudden Tellus
13 Sept
Aspudden Tellus
1 : 2
Newroz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haninge 26 15 7 4 64:30 52
2 Motala 26 13 9 4 45:24 48
3 Assyriska FF 26 14 6 6 55:35 48
4 Enskede 26 14 4 8 50:44 46
5 FC Stockholm Internazionale 26 10 8 8 52:30 38
6 Huddinge 26 10 6 10 57:51 36
7 Assyriska IF 26 10 6 10 46:49 36
8 Varmbols 26 11 3 12 46:50 36
9 Newroz 26 10 5 11 58:52 35
10 Tyreso 26 9 7 10 34:42 34
11 Arameisk-Syrianska 26 8 9 9 46:40 33
12 Aspudden Tellus 26 9 3 14 38:49 30
13 AFK Linkopings 26 8 2 16 50:69 26
14 Sodertalje FK 26 1 5 20 35:111 8
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2019 (Promotion Group)