Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Varnamo vs Brage

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Finnvedsvallen, Varnamo
Our Tip

Match Events

49'
Sise M.
53'
Sub
Kujundzic A. In: Ohlsson S.
Out: Kujundzic A.
53'
Sub
Bozicevic F. In: Robertsson L.
Out: Bozicevic F.

AI Match Summary

The Superettan game between Varnamo and Brage finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Varnamo
35%
Draws
13%
Brage
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Varnamo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Varnamo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Varnamo are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Varnamo Clean Sheet 20%
Brage Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varnamo Brage
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 8 7
Draws 6 8
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.24 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.78
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Superettan
Varnamo vs Brage
0:0
Jun 21, 2026 Superettan
Brage vs Varnamo
5:1
Nov 20, 2021 Superettan
Brage vs Varnamo
3:1
Apr 24, 2021 Superettan
Varnamo vs Brage
1:0
Jul 28, 2018 Superettan
Brage vs Varnamo
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varnamo 76 / 100
Brage 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varnamo Brage

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varnamo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brage's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 27 matches.

Varnamo's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Varnamo has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Varnamo VS Brage
2 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Varnamo

(Home)
15 Sept
Varnamo
1 : 3
Oster
09 Sept
Nordic United
2 : 4
Varnamo
05 Sept
Varnamo
1 : 1
Varberg
29 Aug
Ljungskile
0 : 1
Varnamo
24 Aug
Varnamo
1 : 1
Landskrona
Page 1 of 6

Brage

(Away)
15 Sept
Brage
1 : 1
Sandviken
10 Sept
Ostersund
1 : 1
Brage
05 Sept
Brage
0 : 1
Sundsvall
29 Aug
Falkenberg
4 : 1
Brage
23 Aug
Brage
1 : 2
Nordic United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norrkoping 24 16 4 4 45:15 52
2 Falkenberg 25 13 6 6 46:33 45
3 Ostersund 25 11 10 4 33:24 43
4 Varberg 24 12 5 7 41:31 41
5 Landskrona 24 10 7 7 35:25 37
6 Oddevold 24 9 9 6 37:32 36
7 Oster 24 11 3 10 37:35 36
8 Nordic United 24 9 9 6 37:36 36
9 Sandviken 24 9 7 8 39:31 34
10 Helsingborg 24 8 5 11 36:45 29
11 Varnamo 24 7 5 12 31:44 26
12 Ljungskile 24 6 7 11 29:35 25
13 Orebro 24 5 9 10 25:35 24
14 Norrby 24 4 11 9 28:35 23
15 Brage 24 5 8 11 37:45 23
16 Sundsvall 24 5 1 18 16:51 16
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)