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Varnamo vs Brage

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Finnvedsvallen, Varnamo
Our Tip

Match Events

49'
Sise M.
53'
Sub
Kujundzic A. In: Ohlsson S.
Out: Kujundzic A.
53'
Sub
Bozicevic F. In: Robertsson L.
Out: Bozicevic F.

AI Match Summary

The Superettan game between Varnamo and Brage finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Varnamo
6%
Draws
90%
Brage
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Brage

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Brage carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Brage are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Varnamo Clean Sheet 10%
Brage Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varnamo Brage
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 5 13
Draws 5 4
Losses 18 9
Goals Scored 0.5 1.88
Goals Conceded 2.38 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Superettan
Varnamo vs Brage
0:0
Jun 21, 2026 Superettan
Brage vs Varnamo
5:1
Nov 20, 2021 Superettan
Brage vs Varnamo
3:1
Apr 24, 2021 Superettan
Varnamo vs Brage
1:0
Jul 28, 2018 Superettan
Brage vs Varnamo
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varnamo 10 / 100
Brage 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varnamo Brage

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BRA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brage's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 26 matches.

Varnamo's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Difficult form: Brage registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Varnamo VS Brage
0.5 Goals Scored 1.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Varnamo

(Home)
19 Jul
Varnamo
2 : 3
Ljungskile
13 Jul
Varnamo
0 : 2
Naestved IF
28 Jun
Landskrona
1 : 0
Varnamo
21 Jun
Brage
5 : 1
Varnamo
16 Jun
Varnamo
0 : 1
Helsingborg
Page 1 of 6

Brage

(Away)
18 Jul
Oster
3 : 2
Brage
26 Jun
Brage
2 : 4
Falkenberg
21 Jun
Brage
5 : 1
Varnamo
14 Jun
Sandviken
3 : 2
Brage
09 Jun
Brage
2 : 2
Ljungskile
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Varberg1593332:1930
2Norrkoping1592426:1029
3Falkenberg1584330:2328
4Landskrona1574422:1625
5Ostersund1574424:1925
6Nordic United1574425:2225
7Oster1572624:2523
8Helsingborg1572629:3123
9Oddevold1555528:2620
10Sandviken1554624:2319
11Ljungskile1554621:2019
12Norrby1538419:2117
13Brage1544728:2916
14Orebro1535713:2214
15Varnamo15311117:3410
16Sundsvall15301212:349
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)