Sport Picks
Varnamo vs Falkenberg
Sweden
Superettan Finnvedsvallen, Varnamo 
AI Match Summary
Varnamo host Falkenberg in the Superettan. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Falkenberg have shipped 1.3 goals a game lately, while Varnamo have conceded 1.8 and scored 1.27. Head-to-head, Varnamo have won 3 to Falkenberg's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on May 23, 2026, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 1.75 vs 1.38, favoring Falkenberg. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Falkenberg have won more games recently than Varnamo.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- Regular Superettan form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Varnamo | Falkenberg |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 16 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 15 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.27 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.8 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Varnamo scored in 67% of their last 30 games.
Falkenberg has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Varnamo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Varnamo
(Home)Falkenberg
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Norrkoping | 25 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 48:16 | 55 |
| 2 | Falkenberg | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 46:33 | 45 |
| 3 | Varberg | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 44:33 | 44 |
| 4 | Ostersund | 25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 33:24 | 43 |
| 5 | Landskrona | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 39:26 | 40 |
| 6 | Sandviken | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 43:33 | 37 |
| 7 | Oddevold | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 38:34 | 36 |
| 8 | Oster | 25 | 11 | 3 | 11 | 38:38 | 36 |
| 9 | Nordic United | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 38:40 | 36 |
| 10 | Helsingborg | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 36:45 | 29 |
| 11 | Varnamo | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 33:45 | 29 |
| 12 | Ljungskile | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 29:35 | 25 |
| 13 | Orebro | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 27:39 | 24 |
| 14 | Norrby | 24 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 28:35 | 23 |
| 15 | Brage | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 39:48 | 23 |
| 16 | Sundsvall | 24 | 5 | 1 | 18 | 16:51 | 16 |
