Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Varnamo vs Landskrona

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Finnvedsvallen, Varnamo
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Antonsson M.
Assist: Andersson H.
40'
Murbeck A.
52'
Loukili Z.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Superettan matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Varnamo
35%
Draws
32%
Landskrona
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Landskrona lately — more wins on the board than Varnamo.
  • Varnamo are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Varnamo Clean Sheet 20%
Landskrona Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varnamo Landskrona
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 12
Draws 6 8
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.24 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2026 Superettan
Varnamo vs Landskrona
1:1
Jun 28, 2026 Superettan
Landskrona vs Varnamo
1:0
Feb 13, 2026 Club Friendly
Varnamo vs Landskrona
4:2
Mar 15, 2025 Club Friendly
Landskrona vs Varnamo
1:1
Nov 24, 2024 Allsvenskan
Varnamo vs Landskrona
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Varnamo Compare

Top Goalscorer Antonsson M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Landskrona Compare

Top Goalscorer Jensen K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varnamo 58 / 100
Landskrona 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varnamo Landskrona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varnamo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Varnamo scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Landskrona has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Varnamo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Varnamo VS Landskrona
2 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Varnamo

(Home)
15 Sept
Varnamo
1 : 3
Oster
09 Sept
Nordic United
2 : 4
Varnamo
05 Sept
Varnamo
1 : 1
Varberg
29 Aug
Ljungskile
0 : 1
Varnamo
24 Aug
Varnamo
1 : 1
Landskrona
Page 1 of 6

Landskrona

(Away)
15 Sept
Landskrona
4 : 0
Sundsvall
09 Sept
Landskrona
1 : 2
Helsingborg
05 Sept
Norrby
1 : 3
Landskrona
29 Aug
Landskrona
1 : 1
Ostersund
24 Aug
Varnamo
1 : 1
Landskrona
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norrkoping 24 16 4 4 45:15 52
2 Falkenberg 24 13 5 6 46:33 44
3 Ostersund 24 11 9 4 33:24 42
4 Varberg 24 12 5 7 41:31 41
5 Landskrona 24 10 7 7 35:25 37
6 Oddevold 24 9 9 6 37:32 36
7 Oster 24 11 3 10 37:35 36
8 Nordic United 24 9 9 6 37:36 36
9 Sandviken 24 9 7 8 39:31 34
10 Helsingborg 24 8 5 11 36:45 29
11 Varnamo 24 7 5 12 31:44 26
12 Ljungskile 24 6 7 11 29:35 25
13 Orebro 24 5 9 10 25:35 24
14 Norrby 24 4 11 9 28:35 23
15 Brage 24 5 8 11 37:45 23
16 Sundsvall 24 5 1 18 16:51 16
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)