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Varnamo vs Ljungskile Prediction & H2H Stats

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Finnvedsvallen, Varnamo
Varnamo Logo

Varnamo

2 - 3
FT
Ljungskile Logo

Ljungskile

Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Johansson C.
33' Event
Uzel M.
Assist: Omar S.
45'
Sub
Bergqvist D. In: Robertsson L.
Out: Bergqvist D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ljungskile in this Superettan matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ljungskile.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Varnamo
20%
Draws
23%
Ljungskile
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Varnamo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Ljungskile have won more games recently than Varnamo.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Varnamo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Ljungskile have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Varnamo Clean Sheet 20%
Ljungskile Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varnamo Ljungskile
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 10
Draws 6 7
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.27 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Superettan
Ljungskile vs Varnamo
0:1
Jul 19, 2026 Superettan
Varnamo vs Ljungskile
2:3
Sep 29, 2019 Division 1 - Södra
Ljungskile vs Varnamo
3:0
Jun 2, 2019 Division 1 - Södra
Varnamo vs Ljungskile
0:2
Oct 2, 2016 Superettan
Ljungskile vs Varnamo
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Varnamo Compare

Top Goalscorer Claesson V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Meriluoto K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Ljungskile Compare

Top Goalscorer Uzel M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rasheed A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varnamo 67 / 100
Ljungskile 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varnamo Ljungskile

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varnamo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Varnamo scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Ljungskile's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Varnamo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Varnamo VS Ljungskile
2 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Varnamo

(Home)
19 Sept
Oddevold
1 : 2
Varnamo
15 Sept
Varnamo
1 : 3
Oster
09 Sept
Nordic United
2 : 4
Varnamo
05 Sept
Varnamo
1 : 1
Varberg
29 Aug
Ljungskile
0 : 1
Varnamo
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Ljungskile

(Away)
20 Sept
Sundsvall
3 : 2
Ljungskile
13 Sept
Ljungskile
0 : 2
Falkenberg
09 Sept
Ljungskile
2 : 1
Norrby
04 Sept
Norrkoping
2 : 2
Ljungskile
29 Aug
Ljungskile
0 : 1
Varnamo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norrkoping 25 17 4 4 48:16 55
2 Falkenberg 25 13 6 6 46:33 45
3 Varberg 25 13 5 7 44:33 44
4 Ostersund 25 11 10 4 33:24 43
5 Landskrona 25 11 7 7 39:26 40
6 Sandviken 25 10 7 8 43:33 37
7 Oddevold 25 9 9 7 38:34 36
8 Oster 25 11 3 11 38:38 36
9 Nordic United 25 9 9 7 38:40 36
10 Helsingborg 25 8 6 11 36:45 30
11 Varnamo 25 8 5 12 33:45 29
12 Ljungskile 25 6 7 12 31:38 25
13 Norrby 25 4 12 9 28:35 24
14 Orebro 25 5 9 11 27:39 24
15 Brage 25 5 8 12 39:48 23
16 Sundsvall 25 6 1 18 19:53 19
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)