Sport Picks

Sweden

Superettan Finnvedsvallen

Ljungskile

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Varnamo host Ljungskile in the Superettan. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Varnamo have averaged 0.88 scored and 2.25 conceded recently, against Ljungskile's 1.25 scored and 1.25 conceded. Past meetings favor Ljungskile slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 29, 2019, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.06 xG vs 1.75) point toward Ljungskile. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Varnamo

11%

Draws

80%

Ljungskile

Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Ljungskile

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence

Ljungskile have won more games recently than Varnamo.
80% — that's where the model lands on Ljungskile taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 5 times recently and Ljungskile have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%

Varnamo Clean Sheet 12%

Ljungskile Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Varnamo	Ljungskile
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	5	14
Draws	6	6
Losses	17	8
Goals Scored	0.88	1.25
Goals Conceded	2.25	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.25	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2019 Division 1 - Södra

Ljungskile vs Varnamo

Possession: 42% - 51% Cards: 1 - 1

3:0

Jun 2, 2019 Division 1 - Södra

Varnamo vs Ljungskile

Possession: 48% - 41% Cards: 0 - 3

0:2

Oct 2, 2016 Superettan

Ljungskile vs Varnamo

Possession: 52% - 47% Cards: 1 - 3

2:0

Apr 10, 2016 Superettan

Varnamo vs Ljungskile

Possession: 44% - 57% Cards: 4 - 3

0:2

Oct 4, 2015 Superettan

Ljungskile vs Varnamo

Possession: 55% - 47% Cards: 1 - 3

0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varnamo 11 / 100

Ljungskile 75 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Varnamo Ljungskile

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LJU Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ljungskile has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Varnamo's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Ljungskile lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Varnamo VS Ljungskile

0.88 Goals Scored 1.25

2.25 Goals Conceded 1.25

75% Over 1.5 63%

63% Over 2.5 50%

50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Falkenberg	14	8	4	2	28:20	28
2	Varberg	14	8	3	3	28:17	27
3	Norrkoping	14	8	2	4	23:10	26
4	Landskrona	14	7	4	3	22:14	25
5	Ostersund	14	6	4	4	22:19	22
6	Nordic United	14	6	4	4	23:22	22
7	Oddevold	14	5	5	4	26:22	20
8	Oster	14	6	2	6	21:23	20
9	Helsingborg	14	6	2	6	26:29	20
10	Sandviken	14	5	4	5	24:20	19
11	Brage	14	4	4	6	26:26	16
12	Ljungskile	14	4	4	6	18:18	16
13	Norrby	14	2	8	4	16:20	14
14	Orebro	14	3	5	6	13:20	14
15	Varnamo	14	3	1	10	15:31	10
16	Sundsvall	14	3	0	11	11:31	9