Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Varnamo vs Nordic United

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Finnvedsvallen, Varnamo
Our Tip

Match Events

41'
Sub
Robertsson L. In: Jansson S.
Out: Robertsson L.
51' Event
Mehmeti L.
Assist: Harabi A.
63'
Fazal M.

AI Match Summary

The Superettan game between Varnamo and Nordic United finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nordic United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Varnamo
30%
Draws
23%
Nordic United
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Varnamo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nordic United come out ahead of Varnamo on wins alone.
  • Model gives Varnamo a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Superettan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Varnamo Clean Sheet 18%
Nordic United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varnamo Nordic United
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 11
Draws 5 10
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 1.31 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Superettan
Nordic United vs Varnamo
2:4
May 31, 2026 Superettan
Varnamo vs Nordic United
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Varnamo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Nordic United Compare

Top Goalscorer Mehmeti L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jawla K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varnamo 76 / 100
Nordic United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varnamo Nordic United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varnamo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Varnamo found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Nordic United has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Varnamo has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Varnamo VS Nordic United
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Varnamo

(Home)
19 Sept
Oddevold
1 : 2
Varnamo
15 Sept
Varnamo
1 : 3
Oster
09 Sept
Nordic United
2 : 4
Varnamo
05 Sept
Varnamo
1 : 1
Varberg
29 Aug
Ljungskile
0 : 1
Varnamo
Page 1 of 6

Nordic United

(Away)
03 Oct
Orebro
1 : 1
Nordic United
19 Sept
Nordic United
1 : 4
Landskrona
14 Sept
Orebro
1 : 1
Nordic United
09 Sept
Nordic United
2 : 4
Varnamo
04 Sept
Oster
1 : 2
Nordic United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norrkoping 25 17 4 4 48:16 55
2 Falkenberg 25 13 6 6 46:33 45
3 Varberg 25 13 5 7 44:33 44
4 Ostersund 25 11 10 4 33:24 43
5 Landskrona 25 11 7 7 39:26 40
6 Sandviken 25 10 7 8 43:33 37
7 Oddevold 25 9 9 7 38:34 36
8 Oster 25 11 3 11 38:38 36
9 Nordic United 25 9 9 7 38:40 36
10 Helsingborg 25 8 6 11 36:45 30
11 Varnamo 25 8 5 12 33:45 29
12 Ljungskile 25 6 7 12 31:38 25
13 Norrby 25 4 12 9 28:35 24
14 Orebro 25 5 9 11 27:39 24
15 Brage 25 5 8 12 39:48 23
16 Sundsvall 25 6 1 18 19:53 19
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)