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Varnamo vs Oster - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Finnvedsvallen, Varnamo
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Olsson F.
Assist: Tamminen M.
28'
Sub
Adolfsson M. In: Starke S.
Out: Adolfsson M.
63'
Sub
Olsson F. In: Soderberg N.
Out: Olsson F.

AI Match Summary

The Superettan game between Varnamo and Oster finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Oster.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Varnamo
15%
Draws
42%
Oster
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Varnamo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Varnamo haven't matched Oster's recent run of results.
  • Varnamo are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Varnamo Clean Sheet 17%
Oster Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varnamo Oster
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 10 16
Draws 5 2
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.31 1.84
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2026 Superettan
Varnamo vs Oster
1:3
Jun 9, 2026 Superettan
Oster vs Varnamo
3:0
Sep 14, 2025 Allsvenskan
Oster vs Varnamo
4:3
May 24, 2025 Allsvenskan
Varnamo vs Oster
1:1
Feb 10, 2024 Club Friendly
Varnamo vs Oster
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Varnamo Compare

Top Goalscorer Claesson V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Oster Compare

Top Goalscorer Olsson F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bladh Pijaca H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varnamo 41 / 100
Oster 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varnamo Oster

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Varnamo's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Oster has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Varnamo has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Varnamo VS Oster
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Varnamo

(Home)
31 Oct
Norrby
0 : 3
Varnamo
24 Oct
Varnamo
0 : 1
Sandviken
18 Oct
Sundsvall
0 : 1
Varnamo
11 Oct
Varnamo
1 : 2
Falkenberg
19 Sept
Oddevold
1 : 2
Varnamo
Page 1 of 6

Oster

(Away)
02 Nov
Oster
3 : 0
Helsingborg
24 Oct
Brage
4 : 5
Oster
17 Oct
Oster
3 : 1
Oddevold
10 Oct
Norrby
2 : 0
Oster
03 Oct
Halmstad
3 : 2
Oster
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norrkoping 29 20 5 4 61:18 65
2 Falkenberg 29 16 6 7 54:39 54
3 Varberg 29 13 9 7 48:37 48
4 Ostersund 29 12 12 5 38:29 48
5 Landskrona 29 13 8 8 48:34 47
6 Oddevold 29 12 9 8 50:38 45
7 Oster 29 14 3 12 49:45 45
8 Nordic United 29 11 9 9 45:49 42
9 Sandviken 29 11 8 10 47:38 41
10 Varnamo 29 10 5 14 38:48 35
11 Helsingborg 29 8 8 13 37:51 32
12 Ljungskile 29 7 10 12 37:42 31
13 Orebro 29 6 11 12 32:44 29
14 Norrby 29 5 12 12 31:44 27
15 Brage 29 6 8 15 46:57 26
16 Sundsvall 29 6 1 22 21:69 19
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)