Sport Picks
Match Events
11'
11'
Meriluoto K.
Assist: Bjornstrom A.
22'
22'
Ozkan E.
65'
65'
Sub
Ali J. In: Palomino M.
Out: Ali J.
AI Match Summary
The Superettan game between Varnamo and Ostersund finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
35%
31%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Varnamo haven't matched Ostersund's recent run of results.
- Model gives Varnamo a 42% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Varnamo Clean Sheet 20%
Ostersund Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Varnamo | Ostersund |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 11 |
| Losses | 15 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.27 | 1.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.8 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 16, 2026 Superettan
Varnamo vs Ostersund
1:1
May 3, 2026 Superettan
Ostersund vs Varnamo
3:2
Sep 29, 2015 Superettan
Varnamo vs Ostersund
1:0
Apr 25, 2015 Superettan
Ostersund vs Varnamo
1:1
Aug 2, 2014 Superettan
Varnamo vs Ostersund
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Varnamo Compare
Top Goalscorer Meriluoto K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Ostersund Compare
Top Goalscorer Palomino M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Varnamo 42 / 100
Ostersund 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Varnamo Ostersund
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Varnamo found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).
Ostersund's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Varnamo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Varnamo VS Ostersund
2 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Varnamo
(Home) 19 Sept
Oddevold
1 : 2 Varnamo
15 Sept
Varnamo
1 : 3 Oster
09 Sept
Nordic United
2 : 4 Varnamo
05 Sept
Varnamo
1 : 1 Varberg
29 Aug
Ljungskile
0 : 1 Varnamo
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Varnamo
1 : 3 Oster
05 Sept
Varnamo
1 : 1 Varberg
24 Aug
Varnamo
1 : 1 Landskrona
16 Aug
Varnamo
1 : 1 Ostersund
25 Jul
Varnamo
0 : 0 Brage
Page 1 of 3
Ostersund
(Away) 18 Sept
Falkenberg
0 : 0 Ostersund
14 Sept
Ostersund
1 : 0 Helsingborg
10 Sept
Ostersund
1 : 1 Brage
07 Sept
Orebro
0 : 1 Ostersund
29 Aug
Landskrona
1 : 1 Ostersund
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Falkenberg
0 : 0 Ostersund
07 Sept
Orebro
0 : 1 Ostersund
29 Aug
Landskrona
1 : 1 Ostersund
20 Aug
FC Arlanda
1 : 2 Ostersund
16 Aug
Varnamo
1 : 1 Ostersund
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Norrkoping | 25 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 48:16 | 55 |
| 2 | Falkenberg | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 46:33 | 45 |
| 3 | Varberg | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 44:33 | 44 |
| 4 | Ostersund | 25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 33:24 | 43 |
| 5 | Landskrona | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 39:26 | 40 |
| 6 | Sandviken | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 43:33 | 37 |
| 7 | Oddevold | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 38:34 | 36 |
| 8 | Oster | 25 | 11 | 3 | 11 | 38:38 | 36 |
| 9 | Nordic United | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 38:40 | 36 |
| 10 | Helsingborg | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 36:45 | 30 |
| 11 | Varnamo | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 33:45 | 29 |
| 12 | Ljungskile | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 31:38 | 25 |
| 13 | Norrby | 25 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 28:35 | 24 |
| 14 | Orebro | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 27:39 | 24 |
| 15 | Brage | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 39:48 | 23 |
| 16 | Sundsvall | 25 | 6 | 1 | 18 | 19:53 | 19 |
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
