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Varnamo vs Varberg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Finnvedsvallen, Varnamo
Our Tip

Match Events

38'
Sub
Sibelius L. In: Borgelin S.
Out: Sibelius L.
62'
Sub
Akinfenwa M. In: Ljungberg A.
Out: Akinfenwa M.
63'
Sub
Meriluoto K. In: Jansson S.
Out: Meriluoto K.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Superettan matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Varnamo
35%
Draws
28%
Varberg
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Varnamo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Varnamo haven't matched Varberg's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Varnamo a 37% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Superettan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Varnamo Clean Sheet 19%
Varberg Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varnamo Varberg
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 14
Draws 5 8
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 1.31 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Superettan
Varnamo vs Varberg
1:1
May 8, 2026 Superettan
Varberg vs Varnamo
3:2
Aug 19, 2023 Allsvenskan
Varberg vs Varnamo
0:3
May 9, 2023 Allsvenskan
Varnamo vs Varberg
3:1
Mar 11, 2023 Club Friendly
Varnamo vs Varberg
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Varnamo Compare

Top Goalscorer Claesson V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Varberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Borgelin S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varnamo 49 / 100
Varberg 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varnamo Varberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varnamo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Varnamo found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Varberg has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Varnamo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Varnamo VS Varberg
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Varnamo

(Home)
31 Oct
Norrby
0 : 3
Varnamo
24 Oct
Varnamo
0 : 1
Sandviken
18 Oct
Sundsvall
0 : 1
Varnamo
11 Oct
Varnamo
1 : 2
Falkenberg
19 Sept
Oddevold
1 : 2
Varnamo
Page 1 of 6

Varberg

(Away)
01 Nov
Varberg
2 : 2
Ljungskile
27 Oct
Landskrona
1 : 1
Varberg
19 Oct
Varberg
0 : 0
Helsingborg
10 Oct
Ostersund
1 : 1
Varberg
19 Sept
Varberg
3 : 2
Brage
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norrkoping 29 20 5 4 61:18 65
2 Falkenberg 29 16 6 7 54:39 54
3 Varberg 29 13 9 7 48:37 48
4 Ostersund 29 12 12 5 38:29 48
5 Landskrona 29 13 8 8 48:34 47
6 Oddevold 29 12 9 8 50:38 45
7 Oster 29 14 3 12 49:45 45
8 Nordic United 29 11 9 9 45:49 42
9 Sandviken 29 11 8 10 47:38 41
10 Varnamo 29 10 5 14 38:48 35
11 Helsingborg 29 8 8 13 37:51 32
12 Ljungskile 29 7 10 12 37:42 31
13 Orebro 29 6 11 12 32:44 29
14 Norrby 29 5 12 12 31:44 27
15 Brage 29 6 8 15 46:57 26
16 Sundsvall 29 6 1 22 21:69 19
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)