Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Varnamo vs Varberg

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Finnvedsvallen, Varnamo
Our Tip

Match Events

38'
Sub
Sibelius L. In: Borgelin S.
Out: Sibelius L.
62'
Sub
Akinfenwa M. In: Ljungberg A.
Out: Akinfenwa M.
63'
Sub
Meriluoto K. In: Jansson S.
Out: Meriluoto K.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Superettan matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Varnamo
30%
Draws
33%
Varberg
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Varnamo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Varnamo haven't matched Varberg's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Superettan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Varnamo Clean Sheet 19%
Varberg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varnamo Varberg
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 16
Draws 6 5
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.24 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Superettan
Varnamo vs Varberg
1:1
May 8, 2026 Superettan
Varberg vs Varnamo
3:2
Aug 19, 2023 Allsvenskan
Varberg vs Varnamo
0:3
May 9, 2023 Allsvenskan
Varnamo vs Varberg
3:1
Mar 11, 2023 Club Friendly
Varnamo vs Varberg
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Varnamo Compare

Top Goalscorer Claesson V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Varberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Borgelin S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varnamo 36 / 100
Varberg 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varnamo Varberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varberg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Varnamo found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Varberg has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Varnamo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Varnamo VS Varberg
2 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Varnamo

(Home)
15 Sept
Varnamo
1 : 3
Oster
09 Sept
Nordic United
2 : 4
Varnamo
05 Sept
Varnamo
1 : 1
Varberg
29 Aug
Ljungskile
0 : 1
Varnamo
24 Aug
Varnamo
1 : 1
Landskrona
Page 1 of 6

Varberg

(Away)
14 Sept
Norrby
1 : 2
Varberg
10 Sept
Varberg
0 : 2
Norrkoping
05 Sept
Varnamo
1 : 1
Varberg
30 Aug
Varberg
3 : 1
Oddevold
25 Aug
Orebro
2 : 1
Varberg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norrkoping 24 16 4 4 45:15 52
2 Falkenberg 24 13 5 6 46:33 44
3 Ostersund 24 11 9 4 33:24 42
4 Varberg 24 12 5 7 41:31 41
5 Landskrona 24 10 7 7 35:25 37
6 Oddevold 24 9 9 6 37:32 36
7 Oster 24 11 3 10 37:35 36
8 Nordic United 24 9 9 6 37:36 36
9 Sandviken 24 9 7 8 39:31 34
10 Helsingborg 24 8 5 11 36:45 29
11 Varnamo 24 7 5 12 31:44 26
12 Ljungskile 24 6 7 11 29:35 25
13 Orebro 24 5 9 10 25:35 24
14 Norrby 24 4 11 9 28:35 23
15 Brage 24 5 8 11 37:45 23
16 Sundsvall 24 5 1 18 16:51 16
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)