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Varnamo W vs Saltangens BK W

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 Women 2007
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Varnamo W play Saltangens BK W in the Division 1 Women 2007. Saltangens BK W are favorites here. Recently, Varnamo W averaged 1.23 goals scored and 3.7 conceded. Saltangens BK W averaged 1.41 goals scored and 1.91 conceded. In past meetings, Varnamo W won 0, Saltangens BK W won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 20, 2007 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.48 for Varnamo W and 2.63 for Saltangens BK W. This points to a Saltangens BK W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Varnamo W
15%
Draws
61%
Saltangens BK W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Saltangens BK W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

87% / Very High Confidence
  • Varnamo W picked up more points recently compared to Saltangens BK W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.48 vs 2.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 47%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
Varnamo W Clean Sheet 10%
Saltangens BK W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varnamo W Saltangens BK W
Matches Played 30 22
Wins 6 7
Draws 1 4
Losses 23 11
Goals Scored 1.23 1.41
Goals Conceded 3.7 1.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.25 1.71

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 20, 2007 Elitettan Women
Varnamo W vs Saltangens BK W
1:2
Apr 21, 2007 Elitettan Women
Saltangens BK W vs Varnamo W
4:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varnamo W 24 / 100
Saltangens BK W 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varnamo W Saltangens BK W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saltangens BK W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Saltangens BK W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +50%
6.25
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.4%
1.39
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Varnamo W attacking → ← attacking Saltangens BK W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Varnamo W scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Saltangens BK W let in goals in 82% of their last 22 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Varnamo W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Saltangens BK W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

19 Points in last 5 25
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
3.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.71

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Umea Sodra W22127341:1743
2Pitea W22114739:2737
3Danmarks W22106648:3736
4Alvsjo W2297633:2434
5Vasalund W2294940:3631
6Bollstanas W22931039:3330
7Eskilstuna United W2279632:2830
8Sundsvall W2285932:4829
9Gideonsberg W2276938:4427
10Ornas W22751029:3826
11Moron W22641228:4822
12Gamla Upsala W22461226:4518
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Kristianstad W22184080:1758
2Jitex W22143551:2145
3Mallbacken W22143537:1845
4Stattena W22113835:3936
5Oster W221111035:4034
6Sjobo IF W221021032:4032
7Husie W22931047:3830
8Dalsjofors W22831133:2927
9Gauthiod W2276935:4527
10Saltangens BK W22741131:4225
11Varnamo W22311824:7310
12Kalmar W22151615:538