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Varnsdorf vs Jablonec B

Czech Republic Czech Republic

3. CFL - Group B Mestsky stadion v Kotline, Varnsdorf
Sun, Sep 20, 2026
VS
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Varnsdorf host Jablonec B in the 3. CFL - Group B. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Varnsdorf have averaged 2.23 scored and 1.47 conceded recently, against Jablonec B's 1.9 scored and 1.63 conceded. Head-to-head, Varnsdorf have won 2 to Jablonec B's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on May 17, 2026, ending 3:3. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 1.69, favoring Varnsdorf. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Varnsdorf
35%
Draws
31%
Jablonec B
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Varnsdorf come out ahead of Jablonec B on wins alone.
  • Model gives Jablonec B a 31% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 3. CFL - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Varnsdorf Clean Sheet 13%
Jablonec B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varnsdorf Jablonec B
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 19 11
Draws 4 9
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 2.23 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 3. CFL - Group B
Jablonec B vs Varnsdorf
3:3
Oct 19, 2025 3. CFL - Group B
Varnsdorf vs Jablonec B
1:2
Jul 8, 2023 Club Friendly
Varnsdorf vs Jablonec B
6:0
Jul 29, 2020 Club Friendly
Jablonec B vs Varnsdorf
2:1
Feb 8, 2020 Club Friendly
Jablonec B vs Varnsdorf
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varnsdorf 14 / 100
Jablonec B 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varnsdorf Jablonec B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jablonec B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Varnsdorf scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Jablonec B conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Varnsdorf went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Varnsdorf VS Jablonec B
2.75 Goals Scored 2.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Varnsdorf

(Home)
16 Sept
Varnsdorf
1 : 5
Slavia Prague
12 Sept
Zapy
4 : 4
Varnsdorf
06 Sept
Varnsdorf
3 : 1
Velke Hamry
29 Aug
Neratovice
1 : 2
Varnsdorf
25 Aug
Varnsdorf
1 : 0
Usti nad Labem
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Jablonec B

(Away)
13 Sept
Jablonec B
2 : 2
Mlada Boleslav B
06 Sept
Jablonec B
2 : 0
Liberec B
30 Aug
Zapy
1 : 1
Jablonec B
23 Aug
Jablonec B
6 : 0
Velke Hamry
15 Aug
Neratovice
1 : 1
Jablonec B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zapy 6 4 2 0 18:8 14
2 Jablonec B 6 3 3 0 14:4 12
3 Pardubice B 6 3 2 1 13:5 11
4 Mlada Boleslav B 6 3 1 2 20:8 10
5 Varnsdorf 5 3 1 1 11:9 10
6 Teplice B 6 3 1 2 11:9 10
7 Banik Most-Sous 5 3 0 2 11:3 9
8 Benatky n. Jiz. 5 2 2 1 4:2 8
9 Hradec Kralove B 6 1 4 1 3:3 7
10 Brozany 6 1 3 2 6:8 6
11 Chrudim 6 1 3 2 8:12 6
12 Horni Redice 5 2 0 3 3:11 6
13 Neratovice 6 1 2 3 4:14 5
14 Liberec B 5 1 1 3 5:11 4
15 Caslav 5 0 2 3 2:12 2
16 Velke Hamry 6 0 1 5 2:16 1
Promotion - 3. CFL - Group A (Play Offs)