Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Varnsdorf vs Slavia Prague

Czech Republic Czech Republic

MOL Cup Mestsky stadion v Kotline, Varnsdorf
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Schranz I.
Assist: Barcot D.
10' Event
Schranz I.
Assist: Kacor P.
28' Event
Rajnoha A.
Assist: Schranz I.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-5. This leg finished 1-5.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Varnsdorf
15%
Draws
54%
Slavia Prague
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Slavia Prague

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Slavia Prague average 2.24 goals a game right now, well clear of Varnsdorf's 2.18.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Slavia Prague taking it.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Slavia Prague, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Varnsdorf Clean Sheet 10%
Slavia Prague Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varnsdorf Slavia Prague
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 17 17
Draws 4 5
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 2.18 2.24
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 MOL Cup
Varnsdorf vs Slavia Prague
1:5
Jan 21, 2015 Club Friendly
Slavia Prague vs Varnsdorf
2:3
Oct 29, 2013 MOL Cup
Slavia Prague vs Varnsdorf
1:0
Oct 5, 2013 MOL Cup
Varnsdorf vs Slavia Prague
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Varnsdorf Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Slavia Prague Compare

Top Goalscorer Schranz I.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Rajnoha A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varnsdorf 10 / 100
Slavia Prague 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varnsdorf Slavia Prague

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Slavia Prague Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Varnsdorf's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Slavia Prague let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Varnsdorf went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Varnsdorf VS Slavia Prague
1.88 Goals Scored 2.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Varnsdorf

(Home)
20 Sept
Varnsdorf
0 : 2
Jablonec B
16 Sept
Varnsdorf
1 : 5
Slavia Prague
12 Sept
Zapy
4 : 4
Varnsdorf
06 Sept
Varnsdorf
3 : 1
Velke Hamry
29 Aug
Neratovice
1 : 2
Varnsdorf
Page 1 of 6

Slavia Prague

(Away)
20 Sept
Slavia Prague
2 : 1
Plzen
16 Sept
Varnsdorf
1 : 5
Slavia Prague
13 Sept
Teplice
0 : 2
Slavia Prague
10 Sept
Slavia Prague
2 : 3
Lens
05 Sept
Slavia Prague
4 : 0
Brno
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Velvary 0
Brandys nad Labem 1
Steti 0
Varnsdorf 6
Karlovy Vary 2
Chomutov 1
TBD -
Usti nad Labem -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Slavia Prague -
Slavia HK 1
Trutnov 2
TBD -
Benatky n. Jiz. -
Klasterec nad Ohri 4
Ostrov 3
Kosmonosy 1
Neratovice 4
Bedrichov 1
Humpolec 3
Velka Bites 2
FK Blansko 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Slovacko -
Slavia Ceske Budejovice 1
Cesky Krumlov 5
TBD -
Kraluv Dvur -
Rokycany 1
SK Horovice 0
Tempo Prague 2
Loko Praha 3
TJ Bystrice 1
Frydlant n. Ost. 2
TBD -
Opava -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brno -
Zabreh 3
SK Hranice 2
Rajecko 4
Zdar nad Sazavou 1
Belotin 4
Novy Jicin 0
Vratimov FC 1
Havirov 2
Horni Becva 0
Valasske Mezirici 1
TBD -
Unicov -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zlin -
Strani 1
Vsetin 2
Chotebor 2
Velke Mezirici 0
SK Krumvir 2
Znojmo 1
TBD -
Kromeriz -
Hermanuv Mestec 3
Hlinsko 0
TBD -
Zapy -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bohemians 1905 -
FK Kozlovice 1
FK Frydek-Mistek 0
Holesov 1
Slavicin 3
Hluk 2
Brumov 3
TBD -
MFK Karvina -
Spartak Pribram 3
Povltavska FA 2
TBD -
Pisek -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Pardubice -
Bilovec 0
Vitkovice 1
Nove Sady 2
Sumperk 1
Stonava 1
Polanka nad Odrou 2
Sternberk 2
Rymarov 1
FS Trebic 0
Tasovice 1
Bohunice 1
Uhersky Brod 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Artis Brno -
FC Pencin 0
Turnov 3
TBD -
Banik Most-Sous -
SK Strakonice 1908 2
Milevsko 1
TBD -
Pribram -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hradec Kralove -
Petrin Plzen 2
FK Komarov 3
TBD -
Domazlice -
Vysehrad 0
Hostoun 2
TBD -
SK Kladno -
Sparta Brno 1
Nove Mesto na Morave 0
Lanzhot 1
Bystrc 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ostrava -
Rychnov nad Kneznou 0
Chlumec nad Cidlinou 2
TBD -
Admira Prague -
Vestec 2
Benesov 4
TBD -
Taborsko -
Nyrsko 0
Krimice 6
TBD -
Ceske Budejovice -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Teplice -
Bzenec-Vracov 1
Breclav 0
TBD -
Hodonin -
MFK Kravare 1
Bohumin 6
TBD -
Trinec -
Branik 1
Meteor Prague 4
Slany 0
Brozany 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mlada Boleslav -
Hvezda Cheb 0
Sokolov 3
TBD -
FK Ceska Lipa -
Vysoke Myto 8
Letohrad 1
TBD -
Vlasim -
Usti nad Orlici 2
Svitavy 1
Prepere 3
Velke Hamry 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Liberec -
Hluboka nad Vltavou 3
Spartak Sobeslav 2
TBD -
Aritma Prague -
Dvur Kralove 1
Police nad Metuji 2
TBD -
Zizkov -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sparta Prague -
Kolin 0
Horni Redice 3
TBD -
Chrudim -
Vykan 4
Caslav 3
TBD -
Dukla Prague -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jablonec -
Bridlicna 1
Hlucin 0
Vsechovice 2
Hlubina 1
Zdirec nad Doubravou 1
FC Kurim 2
TBD -
Prostejov -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sigma Olomouc -
Vejprnice 2
Doubravka 3
Psary 2
Motorlet Prague 3
Stara Rise 0
Slovan Havlickuv Brod 4
TBD -
Jihlava -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Plzen -
1/64-finals
Brandys nad Labem 1
Varnsdorf 2
Karlovy Vary 0
Usti nad Labem 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Slavia Prague -
Trutnov 2
Benatky n. Jiz. 5
Klasterec nad Ohri 1
Neratovice 10
Humpolec 0
Velka Bites 2
TBD -
Slovacko -
Cesky Krumlov 3
Kraluv Dvur 4
Rokycany 0
Loko Praha 2
Frydlant n. Ost. 2
Opava 1
TBD -
Brno -
Zabreh 5
Rajecko 2
Belotin 1
Havirov 3
Valasske Mezirici 1
Unicov 2
TBD -
Zlin -
Vsetin 6
Chotebor 1
SK Krumvir 0
Kromeriz 3
Hermanuv Mestec 0
Zapy 3
TBD -
Bohemians 1905 -
FK Kozlovice 4
Slavicin 3
Brumov 0
MFK Karvina 4
Spartak Pribram 2
Pisek 3
TBD -
FK Pardubice -
Vitkovice 6
Nove Sady 0
Polanka nad Odrou 5
Sternberk 1
Tasovice 2
Uhersky Brod 3
TBD -
Artis Brno -
Turnov 0
Banik Most-Sous 2
SK Strakonice 1908 0
Pribram 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hradec Kralove -
FK Komarov 3
Domazlice 6
Hostoun 0
SK Kladno 4
Sparta Brno 2
Lanzhot 0
TBD -
Ostrava -
Chlumec nad Cidlinou 0
Admira Prague 4
Benesov 0
Taborsko 1
Krimice 2
Ceske Budejovice 0
TBD -
Teplice -
Bzenec-Vracov 2
Hodonin 0
Bohumin 1
Trinec 2
Meteor Prague 4
Brozany 1
TBD -
Mlada Boleslav -
Sokolov 3
FK Ceska Lipa 1
Vysoke Myto 2
Vlasim 4
Usti nad Orlici 3
Prepere 4
TBD -
Liberec -
Hluboka nad Vltavou 1
Aritma Prague 0
Police nad Metuji 2
Zizkov 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sparta Prague -
Horni Redice 3
Chrudim 0
Vykan 0
Dukla Prague 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jablonec -
Bridlicna 2
Vsechovice 3
FC Kurim 0
Prostejov 7
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sigma Olomouc -
Doubravka 2
Motorlet Prague 5
Slovan Havlickuv Brod 1
Jihlava 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Plzen -
1/32-finals
Varnsdorf 1
Usti nad Labem 0
TBD -
Slavia Prague -
Benatky n. Jiz. 1
Neratovice 2
Velka Bites 1
Slovacko 2
Kraluv Dvur 4
Loko Praha 1
Frydlant n. Ost. 0
Brno 10
Zabreh 0
Havirov 4
Unicov 0
Zlin 2
Vsetin 2
Kromeriz 1
Zapy 2
Bohemians 1905 3
FK Kozlovice 2
MFK Karvina 1
Pisek 0
FK Pardubice 2
Vitkovice 2
Polanka nad Odrou 1
Uhersky Brod 0
Artis Brno 2
Banik Most-Sous 1
Pribram 2
TBD -
Hradec Kralove -
Domazlice 3
SK Kladno 4
Sparta Brno 0
Ostrava 9
Admira Prague 0
Taborsko 4
Krimice 1
Teplice 2
Bzenec-Vracov 1
Trinec 4
Meteor Prague 0
Mlada Boleslav 4
Sokolov 0
Vlasim 3
Prepere 0
Liberec 2
Hluboka nad Vltavou 0
Zizkov 2
TBD -
Sparta Prague -
Horni Redice 0
Dukla Prague 5
TBD -
Jablonec -
Vsechovice 0
Prostejov 3
TBD -
Sigma Olomouc -
Motorlet Prague 0
Jihlava 3
TBD -
Plzen -
1/16-finals
Varnsdorf 1
Slavia Prague 5
Neratovice 0
Slovacko 4
Kraluv Dvur 0
Brno 3
Havirov 0
Zlin 4
Vsetin 0
Bohemians 1905 5
FK Kozlovice 0
FK Pardubice 6
Vitkovice 0
Artis Brno 3
Pribram 1
Hradec Kralove 2
SK Kladno 1
Ostrava 2
Taborsko 0
Teplice 5
Trinec 0
Mlada Boleslav 3
Vlasim 0
Liberec 2
Zizkov 0
Sparta Prague 5
Dukla Prague -
Jablonec -
Prostejov 3
Sigma Olomouc 2
Jihlava -
Plzen -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -