Sport Picks

Czech Republic

MOL Cup Mestsky stadion v Kotline, Varnsdorf

Varnsdorf

Tue, Aug 25, 2026

1 - 0

03:00 PM

Usti nad Labem

Our Tip

Match Events

59'

Sub

Ullman O. In: Do Marcolino F.

Out: Ullman O.

59'

Sub

Berelidze T. In: Moulis P.

Out: Berelidze T.

59'

Sub

Simons J. In: Kott T.

Out: Simons J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%

Varnsdorf

20%

Draws

33%

Usti nad Labem

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Varnsdorf

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence

Look at the last few games and Varnsdorf come out ahead of Usti nad Labem on wins alone.
36% — that's where the model lands on Varnsdorf taking it.
Varnsdorf have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Varnsdorf, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Varnsdorf here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%

Varnsdorf Clean Sheet 16%

Usti nad Labem Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Varnsdorf	Usti nad Labem
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	18	15
Draws	4	5
Losses	7	9
Goals Scored	2.24	1.69
Goals Conceded	1.48	1.24
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 25, 2026 MOL Cup

Varnsdorf vs Usti nad Labem

1:0

Feb 22, 2025 Club Friendly

Usti nad Labem vs Varnsdorf

1:1

Jul 13, 2024 Club Friendly

Usti nad Labem vs Varnsdorf

1:4

Jul 5, 2024 Club Friendly

Varnsdorf vs Usti nad Labem

5:2

Feb 16, 2024 Club Friendly

Varnsdorf vs Usti nad Labem

4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varnsdorf 36 / 100

Usti nad Labem 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Varnsdorf Usti nad Labem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Varnsdorf scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Usti nad Labem conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Varnsdorf remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Varnsdorf VS Usti nad Labem

2.5 Goals Scored 1.75

1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75

75% Over 1.5 63%

75% Over 2.5 50%

50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Varnsdorf

(Home)

16 Sept

Varnsdorf

1 : 5

Slavia Prague

12 Sept

Zapy

4 : 4

Varnsdorf

06 Sept

Varnsdorf

3 : 1

Velke Hamry

29 Aug

Neratovice

1 : 2

Varnsdorf

25 Aug

Varnsdorf

1 : 0

Usti nad Labem

Page 1 of 6

Usti nad Labem

(Away)

11 Sept

Usti nad Labem

1 : 2

Jihlava

04 Sept

Usti nad Labem

1 : 1

Slavia Prague B

29 Aug

Taborsko

0 : 1

Usti nad Labem

25 Aug

Varnsdorf

1 : 0

Usti nad Labem

21 Aug

Usti nad Labem

3 : 1

Dukla Prague

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Velvary 0

Brandys nad Labem 1

Steti 0

Varnsdorf 6

Karlovy Vary 2

Chomutov 1

TBD -

Usti nad Labem -

TBD -

Slavia Prague -

Slavia HK 1

Trutnov 2

TBD -

Benatky n. Jiz. -

Klasterec nad Ohri 4

Ostrov 3

Kosmonosy 1

Neratovice 4

Bedrichov 1

Humpolec 3

Velka Bites 2

FK Blansko 1

TBD -

Slovacko -

Slavia Ceske Budejovice 1

Cesky Krumlov 5

TBD -

Kraluv Dvur -

Rokycany 1

SK Horovice 0

Tempo Prague 2

Loko Praha 3

TJ Bystrice 1

Frydlant n. Ost. 2

TBD -

Opava -

TBD -

Brno -

Zabreh 3

SK Hranice 2

Rajecko 4

Zdar nad Sazavou 1

Belotin 4

Novy Jicin 0

Vratimov FC 1

Havirov 2

Horni Becva 0

Valasske Mezirici 1

TBD -

Unicov -

TBD -

Zlin -

Strani 1

Vsetin 2

Chotebor 2

Velke Mezirici 0

SK Krumvir 2

Znojmo 1

TBD -

Kromeriz -

Hermanuv Mestec 3

Hlinsko 0

TBD -

Zapy -

TBD -

Bohemians 1905 -

FK Kozlovice 1

FK Frydek-Mistek 0

Holesov 1

Slavicin 3

Hluk 2

Brumov 3

TBD -

MFK Karvina -

Spartak Pribram 3

Povltavska FA 2

TBD -

Pisek -

TBD -

FK Pardubice -

Bilovec 0

Vitkovice 1

Nove Sady 2

Sumperk 1

Stonava 1

Polanka nad Odrou 2

Sternberk 2

Rymarov 1

FS Trebic 0

Tasovice 1

Bohunice 1

Uhersky Brod 2

TBD -

Artis Brno -

FC Pencin 0

Turnov 3

TBD -

Banik Most-Sous -

SK Strakonice 1908 2

Milevsko 1

TBD -

Pribram -

TBD -

Hradec Kralove -

Petrin Plzen 2

FK Komarov 3

TBD -

Domazlice -

Vysehrad 0

Hostoun 2

TBD -

SK Kladno -

Sparta Brno 1

Nove Mesto na Morave 0

Lanzhot 1

Bystrc 0

TBD -

Ostrava -

Rychnov nad Kneznou 0

Chlumec nad Cidlinou 2

TBD -

Admira Prague -

Vestec 2

Benesov 4

TBD -

Taborsko -

Nyrsko 0

Krimice 6

TBD -

Ceske Budejovice -

TBD -

Teplice -

Bzenec-Vracov 1

Breclav 0

TBD -

Hodonin -

MFK Kravare 1

Bohumin 6

TBD -

Trinec -

Branik 1

Meteor Prague 4

Slany 0

Brozany 2

TBD -

Mlada Boleslav -

Hvezda Cheb 0

Sokolov 3

TBD -

FK Ceska Lipa -

Vysoke Myto 8

Letohrad 1

TBD -

Vlasim -

Usti nad Orlici 2

Svitavy 1

Prepere 3

Velke Hamry 0

TBD -

Liberec -

Hluboka nad Vltavou 3

Spartak Sobeslav 2

TBD -

Aritma Prague -

Dvur Kralove 1

Police nad Metuji 2

TBD -

Zizkov -

TBD -

Sparta Prague -

Kolin 0

Horni Redice 3

TBD -

Chrudim -

Vykan 4

Caslav 3

TBD -

Dukla Prague -

TBD -

Jablonec -

Bridlicna 1

Hlucin 0

Vsechovice 2

Hlubina 1

Zdirec nad Doubravou 1

FC Kurim 2

TBD -

Prostejov -

TBD -

Sigma Olomouc -

Vejprnice 2

Doubravka 3

Psary 2

Motorlet Prague 3

Stara Rise 0

Slovan Havlickuv Brod 4

TBD -

Jihlava -

TBD -

Plzen -

1/64-finals

Brandys nad Labem 1

Varnsdorf 2

Karlovy Vary 0

Usti nad Labem 3

TBD -

Slavia Prague -

Trutnov 2

Benatky n. Jiz. 5

Klasterec nad Ohri 1

Neratovice 10

Humpolec 0

Velka Bites 2

TBD -

Slovacko -

Cesky Krumlov 3

Kraluv Dvur 4

Rokycany 0

Loko Praha 2

Frydlant n. Ost. 2

Opava 1

TBD -

Brno -

Zabreh 5

Rajecko 2

Belotin 1

Havirov 3

Valasske Mezirici 1

Unicov 2

TBD -

Zlin -

Vsetin 6

Chotebor 1

SK Krumvir 0

Kromeriz 3

Hermanuv Mestec 0

Zapy 3

TBD -

Bohemians 1905 -

FK Kozlovice 4

Slavicin 3

Brumov 0

MFK Karvina 4

Spartak Pribram 2

Pisek 3

TBD -

FK Pardubice -

Vitkovice 6

Nove Sady 0

Polanka nad Odrou 5

Sternberk 1

Tasovice 2

Uhersky Brod 3

TBD -

Artis Brno -

Turnov 0

Banik Most-Sous 2

SK Strakonice 1908 0

Pribram 2

TBD -

Hradec Kralove -

FK Komarov 3

Domazlice 6

Hostoun 0

SK Kladno 4

Sparta Brno 2

Lanzhot 0

TBD -

Ostrava -

Chlumec nad Cidlinou 0

Admira Prague 4

Benesov 0

Taborsko 1

Krimice 2

Ceske Budejovice 0

TBD -

Teplice -

Bzenec-Vracov 2

Hodonin 0

Bohumin 1

Trinec 2

Meteor Prague 4

Brozany 1

TBD -

Mlada Boleslav -

Sokolov 3

FK Ceska Lipa 1

Vysoke Myto 2

Vlasim 4

Usti nad Orlici 3

Prepere 4

TBD -

Liberec -

Hluboka nad Vltavou 1

Aritma Prague 0

Police nad Metuji 2

Zizkov 4

TBD -

Sparta Prague -

Horni Redice 3

Chrudim 0

Vykan 0

Dukla Prague 3

TBD -

Jablonec -

Bridlicna 2

Vsechovice 3

FC Kurim 0

Prostejov 7

TBD -

Sigma Olomouc -

Doubravka 2

Motorlet Prague 5

Slovan Havlickuv Brod 1

Jihlava 5

TBD -

Plzen -

1/32-finals

Varnsdorf 1

Usti nad Labem 0

TBD -

Slavia Prague -

Benatky n. Jiz. 1

Neratovice 2

Velka Bites 1

Slovacko 2

Kraluv Dvur 4

Loko Praha 1

Frydlant n. Ost. 0

Brno 10

Zabreh 0

Havirov 4

Unicov 0

Zlin 2

Vsetin 2

Kromeriz 1

Zapy 2

Bohemians 1905 3

FK Kozlovice 2

MFK Karvina 1

Pisek 0

FK Pardubice 2

Vitkovice 2

Polanka nad Odrou 1

Uhersky Brod 0

Artis Brno 2

Banik Most-Sous 1

Pribram 2

TBD -

Hradec Kralove -

Domazlice 3

SK Kladno 4

Sparta Brno 0

Ostrava 9

Admira Prague 0

Taborsko 4

Krimice 1

Teplice 2

Bzenec-Vracov 1

Trinec 4

Meteor Prague 0

Mlada Boleslav 4

Sokolov 0

Vlasim 3

Prepere 0

Liberec 2

Hluboka nad Vltavou 0

Zizkov 2

TBD -

Sparta Prague -

Horni Redice 0

Dukla Prague 5

TBD -

Jablonec -

Vsechovice 0

Prostejov 3

TBD -

Sigma Olomouc -

Motorlet Prague 0

Jihlava 3

TBD -

Plzen -

1/16-finals

Varnsdorf 1

Slavia Prague 5

Neratovice 0

Slovacko 4

Kraluv Dvur 0

Brno 3

Havirov 0

Zlin 4

Vsetin -

Bohemians 1905 -

FK Kozlovice 0

FK Pardubice 6

Vitkovice 0

Artis Brno 3

Pribram 1

Hradec Kralove 2

SK Kladno -

Ostrava -

Taborsko 0

Teplice 5

Trinec 0

Mlada Boleslav 3

Vlasim 0

Liberec 2

Zizkov 0

Sparta Prague 5

Dukla Prague -

Jablonec -

Prostejov 3

Sigma Olomouc 2

Jihlava -

Plzen -

1/8-finals

TBD -

Quarter-finals

TBD -

Semi-finals

TBD -

Final

TBD -

Varnsdorf vs Usti nad Labem

Czech Republic

Varnsdorf

Usti nad Labem

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Varnsdorf

Usti nad Labem

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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