Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Varnsdorf vs Usti nad Labem - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Czech Republic Czech Republic

MOL Cup Mestsky stadion v Kotline, Varnsdorf
Tue, Aug 25, 2026
1 - 0
03:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

59'
Sub
Ullman O. In: Do Marcolino F.
Out: Ullman O.
59'
Sub
Berelidze T. In: Moulis P.
Out: Berelidze T.
59'
Sub
Simons J. In: Kott T.
Out: Simons J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Varnsdorf
20%
Draws
29%
Usti nad Labem
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Varnsdorf

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Varnsdorf come out ahead of Usti nad Labem on wins alone.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Varnsdorf taking it.
  • Varnsdorf have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Varnsdorf, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Varnsdorf here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Varnsdorf Clean Sheet 13%
Usti nad Labem Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varnsdorf Usti nad Labem
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 13
Draws 5 6
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 2.14 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 25, 2026 MOL Cup
Varnsdorf vs Usti nad Labem
1:0
Feb 22, 2025 Club Friendly
Usti nad Labem vs Varnsdorf
1:1
Jul 13, 2024 Club Friendly
Usti nad Labem vs Varnsdorf
1:4
Jul 5, 2024 Club Friendly
Varnsdorf vs Usti nad Labem
5:2
Feb 16, 2024 Club Friendly
Varnsdorf vs Usti nad Labem
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varnsdorf 57 / 100
Usti nad Labem 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varnsdorf Usti nad Labem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varnsdorf Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Varnsdorf scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Usti nad Labem conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Varnsdorf remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Varnsdorf VS Usti nad Labem
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Varnsdorf

(Home)
01 Nov
Caslav
2 : 2
Varnsdorf
28 Oct
Varnsdorf
1 : 3
Horni Redice
25 Oct
Varnsdorf
3 : 2
Brozany
17 Oct
Banik Most-Sous
1 : 0
Varnsdorf
11 Oct
Varnsdorf
2 : 1
Hradec Kralove B
Page 1 of 6

Usti nad Labem

(Away)
30 Oct
Vlasim
3 : 0
Usti nad Labem
23 Oct
Usti nad Labem
1 : 3
MFK Karvina
16 Oct
Prostejov
2 : 2
Usti nad Labem
09 Oct
Usti nad Labem
2 : 3
Opava
02 Oct
FK Ceska Lipa
2 : 3
Usti nad Labem
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Hvezda Cheb 0
Sokolov 3
TBD -
FK Ceska Lipa -
Vysoke Myto 8
Letohrad 1
TBD -
Vlasim -
Usti nad Orlici 2
Svitavy 1
Prepere 3
Velke Hamry 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Liberec -
Rychnov nad Kneznou 0
Chlumec nad Cidlinou 2
TBD -
Admira Prague -
Vestec 2
Benesov 4
TBD -
Taborsko -
Nyrsko 0
Krimice 6
TBD -
Ceske Budejovice -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Teplice -
Hluboka nad Vltavou 3
Spartak Sobeslav 2
TBD -
Aritma Prague -
Dvur Kralove 1
Police nad Metuji 2
TBD -
Zizkov -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sparta Prague -
Petrin Plzen 2
FK Komarov 3
TBD -
Domazlice -
Vysehrad 0
Hostoun 2
TBD -
SK Kladno -
Sparta Brno 1
Nove Mesto na Morave 0
Lanzhot 1
Bystrc 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ostrava -
Zabreh 3
SK Hranice 2
Rajecko 4
Zdar nad Sazavou 1
Belotin 4
Novy Jicin 0
Vratimov FC 1
Havirov 2
Horni Becva 0
Valasske Mezirici 1
TBD -
Unicov -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zlin -
Vejprnice 2
Doubravka 3
Psary 2
Motorlet Prague 3
Stara Rise 0
Slovan Havlickuv Brod 4
TBD -
Jihlava -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Plzen -
Bridlicna 1
Hlucin 0
Vsechovice 2
Hlubina 1
Zdirec nad Doubravou 1
FC Kurim 2
TBD -
Prostejov -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sigma Olomouc -
FC Pencin 0
Turnov 3
TBD -
Banik Most-Sous -
SK Strakonice 1908 2
Milevsko 1
TBD -
Pribram -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hradec Kralove -
Bzenec-Vracov 1
Breclav 0
TBD -
Hodonin -
MFK Kravare 1
Bohumin 6
TBD -
Trinec -
Branik 1
Meteor Prague 4
Slany 0
Brozany 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mlada Boleslav -
Strani 1
Vsetin 2
Chotebor 2
Velke Mezirici 0
SK Krumvir 2
Znojmo 1
TBD -
Kromeriz -
Hermanuv Mestec 3
Hlinsko 0
TBD -
Zapy -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bohemians 1905 -
Velvary 0
Brandys nad Labem 1
Steti 0
Varnsdorf 6
Karlovy Vary 2
Chomutov 1
TBD -
Usti nad Labem -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Slavia Prague -
Slavia Ceske Budejovice 1
Cesky Krumlov 5
TBD -
Kraluv Dvur -
Rokycany 1
SK Horovice 0
Tempo Prague 2
Loko Praha 3
TJ Bystrice 1
Frydlant n. Ost. 2
TBD -
Opava -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brno -
Bilovec 0
Vitkovice 1
Nove Sady 2
Sumperk 1
Stonava 1
Polanka nad Odrou 2
Sternberk 2
Rymarov 1
FS Trebic 0
Tasovice 1
Bohunice 1
Uhersky Brod 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Artis Brno -
Kolin 0
Horni Redice 3
TBD -
Chrudim -
Vykan 4
Caslav 3
TBD -
Dukla Prague -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jablonec -
Slavia HK 1
Trutnov 2
TBD -
Benatky n. Jiz. -
Klasterec nad Ohri 4
Ostrov 3
Kosmonosy 1
Neratovice 4
Bedrichov 1
Humpolec 3
Velka Bites 2
FK Blansko 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Slovacko -
FK Kozlovice 1
FK Frydek-Mistek 0
Holesov 1
Slavicin 3
Hluk 2
Brumov 3
TBD -
MFK Karvina -
Spartak Pribram 3
Povltavska FA 2
TBD -
Pisek -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Pardubice -
1/64-finals
Sokolov 3
FK Ceska Lipa 1
Vysoke Myto 2
Vlasim 4
Usti nad Orlici 3
Prepere 4
TBD -
Liberec -
Chlumec nad Cidlinou 0
Admira Prague 4
Benesov 0
Taborsko 1
Krimice 2
Ceske Budejovice 0
TBD -
Teplice -
Hluboka nad Vltavou 1
Aritma Prague 0
Police nad Metuji 2
Zizkov 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sparta Prague -
FK Komarov 3
Domazlice 6
Hostoun 0
SK Kladno 4
Sparta Brno 2
Lanzhot 0
TBD -
Ostrava -
Zabreh 5
Rajecko 2
Belotin 1
Havirov 3
Valasske Mezirici 1
Unicov 2
TBD -
Zlin -
Doubravka 2
Motorlet Prague 5
Slovan Havlickuv Brod 1
Jihlava 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Plzen -
Bridlicna 2
Vsechovice 3
FC Kurim 0
Prostejov 7
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sigma Olomouc -
Turnov 0
Banik Most-Sous 2
SK Strakonice 1908 0
Pribram 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hradec Kralove -
Bzenec-Vracov 2
Hodonin 0
Bohumin 1
Trinec 2
Meteor Prague 4
Brozany 1
TBD -
Mlada Boleslav -
Vsetin 6
Chotebor 1
SK Krumvir 0
Kromeriz 3
Hermanuv Mestec 0
Zapy 3
TBD -
Bohemians 1905 -
Brandys nad Labem 1
Varnsdorf 2
Karlovy Vary 0
Usti nad Labem 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Slavia Prague -
Cesky Krumlov 3
Kraluv Dvur 4
Rokycany 0
Loko Praha 2
Frydlant n. Ost. 2
Opava 1
TBD -
Brno -
Vitkovice 6
Nove Sady 0
Polanka nad Odrou 5
Sternberk 1
Tasovice 2
Uhersky Brod 3
TBD -
Artis Brno -
Horni Redice 3
Chrudim 0
Vykan 0
Dukla Prague 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jablonec -
Trutnov 2
Benatky n. Jiz. 5
Klasterec nad Ohri 1
Neratovice 10
Humpolec 0
Velka Bites 2
TBD -
Slovacko -
FK Kozlovice 4
Slavicin 3
Brumov 0
MFK Karvina 4
Spartak Pribram 2
Pisek 3
TBD -
FK Pardubice -
1/32-finals
Sokolov 0
Vlasim 3
Prepere 0
Liberec 2
Admira Prague 0
Taborsko 4
Krimice 1
Teplice 2
Hluboka nad Vltavou 0
Zizkov 2
TBD -
Sparta Prague -
Domazlice 3
SK Kladno 4
Sparta Brno 0
Ostrava 9
Zabreh 0
Havirov 4
Unicov 0
Zlin 2
Motorlet Prague 0
Jihlava 3
TBD -
Plzen -
Vsechovice 0
Prostejov 3
TBD -
Sigma Olomouc -
Banik Most-Sous 1
Pribram 2
TBD -
Hradec Kralove -
Bzenec-Vracov 1
Trinec 4
Meteor Prague 0
Mlada Boleslav 4
Vsetin 2
Kromeriz 1
Zapy 2
Bohemians 1905 3
Varnsdorf 1
Usti nad Labem 0
TBD -
Slavia Prague -
Kraluv Dvur 4
Loko Praha 1
Frydlant n. Ost. 0
Brno 10
Vitkovice 2
Polanka nad Odrou 1
Uhersky Brod 0
Artis Brno 2
Horni Redice 0
Dukla Prague 5
TBD -
Jablonec -
Benatky n. Jiz. 1
Neratovice 2
Velka Bites 1
Slovacko 2
FK Kozlovice 2
MFK Karvina 1
Pisek 0
FK Pardubice 2
1/16-finals
Vlasim 0
Liberec 2
Taborsko 0
Teplice 5
Zizkov 0
Sparta Prague 5
SK Kladno 1
Ostrava 2
Havirov 0
Zlin 4
Jihlava 1
Plzen 6
Prostejov 3
Sigma Olomouc 2
Pribram 1
Hradec Kralove 2
Trinec 0
Mlada Boleslav 3
Vsetin 0
Bohemians 1905 5
Varnsdorf 1
Slavia Prague 5
Kraluv Dvur 0
Brno 3
Vitkovice 0
Artis Brno 3
Dukla Prague 0
Jablonec 1
Neratovice 0
Slovacko 4
FK Kozlovice 0
FK Pardubice 6
1/8-finals
Liberec 1
Teplice 0
Sparta Prague 0
Ostrava 2
Zlin -
Plzen -
Prostejov 1
Hradec Kralove 3
Mlada Boleslav 3
Bohemians 1905 2
Slavia Prague 4
Brno 0
Artis Brno -
Jablonec -
Slovacko 1
FK Pardubice 4
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -