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Varnsdorf vs Velke Hamry - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Czech Republic Czech Republic

3. CFL - Group B Mestsky stadion v Kotline, Varnsdorf
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Emmer J.
21' Event
Etemike O.
37'
Krejcik P.

AI Match Summary

The 3. CFL - Group B game between Varnsdorf and Velke Hamry finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Varnsdorf.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Varnsdorf
20%
Draws
29%
Velke Hamry
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Varnsdorf

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Varnsdorf carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Varnsdorf are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular 3. CFL - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Varnsdorf have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Varnsdorf Clean Sheet 14%
Velke Hamry Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varnsdorf Velke Hamry
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 16 3
Draws 5 6
Losses 8 19
Goals Scored 2.14 0.82
Goals Conceded 1.62 2.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 3. CFL - Group B
Varnsdorf vs Velke Hamry
3:1
May 2, 2026 3. CFL - Group B
Velke Hamry vs Varnsdorf
0:2
Oct 5, 2025 3. CFL - Group B
Varnsdorf vs Velke Hamry
1:5
Aug 14, 2019 MOL Cup
Velke Hamry vs Varnsdorf
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Varnsdorf Compare

Top Goalscorer Emmer J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ahile T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Velke Hamry Compare

Top Goalscorer Etemike O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varnsdorf 48 / 100
Velke Hamry 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varnsdorf Velke Hamry

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varnsdorf Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Varnsdorf scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Velke Hamry let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Varnsdorf went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Varnsdorf VS Velke Hamry
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Varnsdorf

(Home)
01 Nov
Caslav
2 : 2
Varnsdorf
28 Oct
Varnsdorf
1 : 3
Horni Redice
25 Oct
Varnsdorf
3 : 2
Brozany
17 Oct
Banik Most-Sous
1 : 0
Varnsdorf
11 Oct
Varnsdorf
2 : 1
Hradec Kralove B
Page 1 of 6

Velke Hamry

(Away)
31 Oct
Chrudim
1 : 0
Velke Hamry
24 Oct
Velke Hamry
3 : 3
Benatky n. Jiz.
18 Oct
Pardubice B
6 : 0
Velke Hamry
10 Oct
Velke Hamry
2 : 0
Teplice B
04 Oct
Caslav
2 : 1
Velke Hamry
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jablonec B 13 9 3 1 32:12 30
2 Mlada Boleslav B 13 9 2 2 36:12 29
3 Zapy 13 7 4 2 27:18 25
4 Benatky n. Jiz. 13 5 7 1 20:11 22
5 Pardubice B 12 6 2 4 27:13 20
6 Neratovice 13 5 4 4 19:19 19
7 Varnsdorf 13 5 4 4 21:22 19
8 Banik Most-Sous 13 5 2 6 19:14 17
9 Chrudim 13 4 4 5 19:28 16
10 Caslav 13 4 4 5 15:25 16
11 Hradec Kralove B 13 3 4 6 11:14 13
12 Liberec B 13 3 4 6 16:24 13
13 Teplice B 13 4 1 8 19:28 13
14 Horni Redice 12 4 0 8 13:26 12
15 Brozany 13 2 5 6 17:24 11
16 Velke Hamry 13 2 2 9 12:33 8
Promotion - 3. CFL - Group A (Play Offs)