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Stadium Background

Varnsdorf vs Velke Hamry

Czech Republic Czech Republic

3. CFL - Group B Mestsky stadion v Kotline, Varnsdorf
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Emmer J.
21' Event
Etemike O.
37'
Krejcik P.

AI Match Summary

The 3. CFL - Group B game between Varnsdorf and Velke Hamry finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Varnsdorf.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Varnsdorf
20%
Draws
7%
Velke Hamry
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Varnsdorf

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Varnsdorf carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Varnsdorf are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular 3. CFL - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Varnsdorf have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Varnsdorf Clean Sheet 20%
Velke Hamry Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varnsdorf Velke Hamry
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 2
Draws 4 10
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 2.24 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.48 2.28
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 3. CFL - Group B
Varnsdorf vs Velke Hamry
3:1
May 2, 2026 3. CFL - Group B
Velke Hamry vs Varnsdorf
0:2
Oct 5, 2025 3. CFL - Group B
Varnsdorf vs Velke Hamry
1:5
Aug 14, 2019 MOL Cup
Velke Hamry vs Varnsdorf
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Varnsdorf Compare

Top Goalscorer Emmer J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ahile T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Velke Hamry Compare

Top Goalscorer Etemike O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varnsdorf 85 / 100
Velke Hamry 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varnsdorf Velke Hamry

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varnsdorf Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Varnsdorf scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Velke Hamry let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Varnsdorf went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Varnsdorf VS Velke Hamry
2.75 Goals Scored 0.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Varnsdorf

(Home)
16 Sept
Varnsdorf
1 : 5
Slavia Prague
12 Sept
Zapy
4 : 4
Varnsdorf
06 Sept
Varnsdorf
3 : 1
Velke Hamry
29 Aug
Neratovice
1 : 2
Varnsdorf
25 Aug
Varnsdorf
1 : 0
Usti nad Labem
Page 1 of 6

Velke Hamry

(Away)
12 Sept
Velke Hamry
0 : 0
Hradec Kralove B
06 Sept
Varnsdorf
3 : 1
Velke Hamry
29 Aug
Velke Hamry
0 : 3
Mlada Boleslav B
23 Aug
Jablonec B
6 : 0
Velke Hamry
15 Aug
Velke Hamry
0 : 2
Zapy
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zapy 6 4 2 0 18:8 14
2 Jablonec B 6 3 3 0 14:4 12
3 Pardubice B 6 3 2 1 13:5 11
4 Mlada Boleslav B 6 3 1 2 20:8 10
5 Varnsdorf 5 3 1 1 11:9 10
6 Teplice B 6 3 1 2 11:9 10
7 Banik Most-Sous 5 3 0 2 11:3 9
8 Benatky n. Jiz. 5 2 2 1 4:2 8
9 Hradec Kralove B 6 1 4 1 3:3 7
10 Brozany 6 1 3 2 6:8 6
11 Chrudim 6 1 3 2 8:12 6
12 Horni Redice 5 2 0 3 3:11 6
13 Neratovice 6 1 2 3 4:14 5
14 Liberec B 5 1 1 3 5:11 4
15 Caslav 5 0 2 3 2:12 2
16 Velke Hamry 6 0 1 5 2:16 1
Promotion - 3. CFL - Group A (Play Offs)