Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Varnsdorf vs Velvary

Czech Republic Czech Republic

3. CFL - Group B 2025/2026 Mestsky stadion v Kotline
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Sladovnik F.
17' Event
Senko K.
30'
Sub
Beranek A. In: Setka J.
Out: Beranek A.

AI Match Summary

The 3. CFL - Group B 2025/2026 game between Varnsdorf and Velvary finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Varnsdorf.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Varnsdorf
6%
Draws
4%
Velvary
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Varnsdorf

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Varnsdorf come out ahead of Velvary on wins alone.
  • Varnsdorf are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Varnsdorf have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Varnsdorf Clean Sheet 16%
Velvary Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varnsdorf Velvary
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 8
Draws 4 3
Losses 13 18
Goals Scored 2.25 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 3. CFL - Group B
Varnsdorf vs Velvary
4:3
Nov 22, 2025 3. CFL - Group B
Velvary vs Varnsdorf
1:2
Feb 15, 2025 Club Friendly
Varnsdorf vs Velvary
4:3
Feb 10, 2024 Club Friendly
Varnsdorf vs Velvary
0:0
Jul 24, 2022 Club Friendly
Varnsdorf vs Velvary
8:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Varnsdorf Compare

Top Goalscorer Ahile T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Senko K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Velvary Compare

Top Goalscorer Sladovnik F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sow I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varnsdorf 84 / 100
Velvary 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varnsdorf Velvary

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Velvary let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.20 goals when they meet.

Varnsdorf scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Varnsdorf stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Varnsdorf VS Velvary
2.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FK Ceska Lipa32291286:2488
2Zapy32235472:2774
3Banik Most-Sous32204860:3464
4Hradec Kralove B32194970:4761
5Teplice B321481046:4250
6Benatky n. Jiz.321281259:5444
7Pardubice B321271369:5743
8Jablonec B321161549:6239
9Mlada Boleslav B321081439:5038
10Liberec B321071572:6437
11Varnsdorf321071546:6537
12Neratovice32991444:6636
13Brozany328101438:5834
14Velke Hamry327101545:5731
15Usti nad Orlici327101535:5531
16Velvary32742146:8225
17Kolin324121636:6824