Sport Picks

Croatia

3. HNL North

Varteks Varazdin (2011)

1 - 0

Papuk Orahovica

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL North game between Varteks Varazdin (2011) and Papuk Orahovica finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Varteks Varazdin (2011).

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Varteks Varazdin (2011)

Draws

Papuk Orahovica

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Varteks Varazdin (2011)

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Varteks Varazdin (2011) come out ahead of Papuk Orahovica on wins alone.
Win probability leans Varteks Varazdin (2011)'s way, sitting at 90%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%

Varteks Varazdin (2011) Clean Sheet 16%

Papuk Orahovica Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Varteks Varazdin (2011)	Papuk Orahovica
Matches Played	48	31
Wins	15	10
Draws	11	5
Losses	22	16
Goals Scored	0.5	0
Goals Conceded	2	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2022 3. HNL North

Papuk Orahovica vs Varteks Varazdin (2011)

Possession: 58% - 41% Cards: 3 - 4

3:1

Apr 2, 2022 3. HNL North

Varteks Varazdin (2011) vs Papuk Orahovica

Possession: 46% - 55% Cards: 1 - 0

1:0

Oct 16, 2021 3. HNL North

Papuk Orahovica vs Varteks Varazdin (2011)

Possession: 57% - 58% Cards: 1 - 1

6:1

Apr 10, 2021 3. HNL North

Varteks Varazdin (2011) vs Papuk Orahovica

Possession: 41% - 42% Cards: 2 - 3

2:2

Oct 3, 2020 3. HNL North

Papuk Orahovica vs Varteks Varazdin (2011)

Possession: 48% - 54% Cards: 0 - 3

2:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varteks Varazdin (2011) 84 / 100

Papuk Orahovica 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Varteks Varazdin (2011) Papuk Orahovica

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAR Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Papuk Orahovica's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Varteks Varazdin (2011) scored in 75% of their last 48 outings.

Papuk Orahovica's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Varteks Varazdin (2011) VS -

0.5 Goals Scored 0

2 Goals Conceded 0

88% Over 1.5 0%

50% Over 2.5 0%

25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	NK Polet	22	17	0	5	61:17	51
2	Mladost Zdralovi	22	15	5	2	45:15	50
3	Bjelovar	22	14	3	5	53:26	45
4	Radnik Krizevci	22	14	2	6	57:25	44
5	Medjimurje	22	12	3	7	40:33	39
6	Podravina Ludbreg	22	8	7	7	35:41	31
7	Papuk Orahovica	22	7	4	11	32:43	25
8	Varteks Varazdin (2011)	22	6	4	12	20:39	22
9	NK Koprivnica	22	3	8	11	24:43	17
10	Virovitica	22	5	2	15	25:52	17
11	Podravac Virje	22	4	4	14	23:50	16
12	Rudar Mursko Sredisce	22	4	4	14	25:56	16