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Varteks Varazdin (2011) vs Segesta

Croatia Croatia

Druga NL 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Ivancic L.
18' Event
Kos A.
49' Event
Rados M.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Druga NL 2025/2026 game between Varteks Varazdin (2011) and Segesta finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Segesta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Varteks Varazdin (2011)
15%
Draws
65%
Segesta
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Segesta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Segesta carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Segesta's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Druga NL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Varteks Varazdin (2011) Clean Sheet 10%
Segesta Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varteks Varazdin (2011) Segesta
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 4 22
Draws 9 4
Losses 16 4
Goals Scored 0.86 2.73
Goals Conceded 1.79 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Druga NL
Varteks Varazdin (2011) vs Segesta
2:3
Nov 29, 2025 Druga NL
Segesta vs Varteks Varazdin (2011)
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Varteks Varazdin (2011) Compare

Top Goalscorer Kos A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Segesta Compare

Top Goalscorer Brkic M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ivancic L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varteks Varazdin (2011) 10 / 100
Segesta 76 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varteks Varazdin (2011) Segesta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Segesta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Segesta's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Varteks Varazdin (2011) scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Varteks Varazdin (2011) has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Varteks Varazdin (2011) VS Segesta
0.75 Goals Scored 3.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Varteks Varazdin (2011)

(Home)
19 Sept
Varteks Varazdin (2011)
0 : 2
NK Inker Zapresic
12 Sept
Dugo Selo
1 : 2
Varteks Varazdin (2011)
05 Sept
Uskok Klis
4 : 1
Varteks Varazdin (2011)
29 Aug
Grobnican
1 : 0
Varteks Varazdin (2011)
26 Aug
Varteks Varazdin (2011)
2 : 3
Bedem Ivankovo
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Segesta

(Away)
18 Sept
Mladost Zdralovi
1 : 3
Segesta
12 Sept
Segesta
2 : 1
Dugopolje
09 Sept
Segesta
3 : 1
Osijek
05 Sept
Sesvete
2 : 0
Segesta
02 Sept
Segesta
0 : 0
Kustosija
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Segesta 30 21 2 7 58:33 65
2 Kustosija 30 17 8 5 55:23 59
3 Jadran Luka Ploce 30 18 5 7 56:29 59
4 Mladost Zdralovi 30 17 8 5 48:32 59
5 Uljanik Pula 30 16 4 10 53:44 52
6 Uskok Klis 30 14 5 11 48:36 47
7 Radnik Krizevci 30 13 8 9 39:28 47
8 Solin 30 12 9 9 46:43 45
9 Trnje 30 8 7 15 37:48 31
10 Grobnican 30 7 10 13 46:60 31
11 Varteks Varazdin (2011) 30 8 7 15 34:48 31
12 Bjelovar 30 7 8 15 32:46 29
13 Lucko 30 8 5 17 32:46 29
14 Dugo Selo 30 7 8 15 22:43 29
15 Dragovoljac 30 6 10 14 28:49 28
16 Croatia Dakovo 30 7 4 19 30:56 25
Promotion - Prva NL (Main)