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Varteks Varazdin (2011) vs Sibenik Prediction & H2H Stats

Croatia Croatia

Croatian Cup 2025/2026
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Match Events

13' Event
Djeveljekaj R.
16' Event
Glavica D.
30' Event
Kovacec D.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-1, with Varteks Varazdin (2011) advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Varteks Varazdin (2011)
20%
Draws
44%
Sibenik
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sibenik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sibenik come out ahead of Varteks Varazdin (2011) on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Sibenik arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Varteks Varazdin (2011), who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Varteks Varazdin (2011) Clean Sheet 20%
Sibenik Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varteks Varazdin (2011) Sibenik
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 7
Draws 11 6
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 0.93 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2025 Croatian Cup
Varteks Varazdin (2011) vs Sibenik
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Varteks Varazdin (2011) Compare

Top Goalscorer Kovacec D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Glavica D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Sibenik Compare

Top Goalscorer Djeveljekaj R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varteks Varazdin (2011) 32 / 100
Sibenik 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varteks Varazdin (2011) Sibenik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sibenik conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Varteks Varazdin (2011)'s goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Varteks Varazdin (2011) remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Varteks Varazdin (2011) VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Varteks Varazdin (2011)

(Home)
03 Oct
Varteks Varazdin (2011)
1 : 1
NK Koprivnica
26 Sept
Bjelovar
1 : 1
Varteks Varazdin (2011)
19 Sept
Varteks Varazdin (2011)
0 : 2
Zapresic
12 Sept
Dugo Selo
1 : 2
Varteks Varazdin (2011)
05 Sept
Uskok Klis
4 : 1
Varteks Varazdin (2011)
Page 1 of 6

Sibenik

(Away)
10 Sept
Varteks Varazdin (2011)
4 : 1
Sibenik
23 Aug
Sibenik
4 : 1
Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje
16 Aug
Sloga Mravince
2 : 1
Sibenik
13 Aug
Sibenik
1 : 0
Drnis
09 Aug
Sibenik
1 : 2
Vodice
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Radnik Krizevci 5
Drnis 0
TBD -
Mladost Zdralovi -
Maksimir 3
Jadran Porec 2
TBD -
Rijeka -
Nehaj Senj 1
Vukovar 1991 2
TBD -
Cibalia -
NK Koprivnica 1
Pitomaca 0
TBD -
Hajduk Split -
Slavonija Pozega 1
Marsonia 0
TBD -
Bijelo Brdo -
NK Radnicki Dalj 0
Granicar Kotoriba 2
TBD -
Slaven Belupo -
Jedinstvo (DM) 0
Dugo Selo 3
TBD -
Lok. Zagreb -
Varteks Varazdin (2011) 3
Moslavina 0
TBD -
Sibenik -
Spansko 0
Gaj Mace 1
TBD -
Varazdin -
Uljanik Pula 2
Bjelovar 0
TBD -
Osijek -
Belica 1
Solin 4
TBD -
Rudes -
NK Libertas Novska 2
Opatija 1
TBD -
HNK Gorica -
Bednja Beletinec 1
Karlovac 4
TBD -
Belisce -
Bedem Ivankovo 3
NK Dinamo Predavac 5
TBD -
Din. Zagreb -
Zemunik 2
Kurilovec 12
TBD -
Oriolik -
Neretva 6
Zadrugar Oprisavci 2
TBD -
Istra 1961 -
1/16-finals
Radnik Krizevci 0
Mladost Zdralovi 1
Maksimir 0
Rijeka 4
Vukovar 1991 0
Cibalia 1
NK Koprivnica 1
Hajduk Split 4
Slavonija Pozega 0
Bijelo Brdo 2
Granicar Kotoriba 0
Slaven Belupo 5
Dugo Selo 0
Lok. Zagreb 4
Varteks Varazdin (2011) 4
Sibenik 1
Gaj Mace 1
Varazdin 7
Uljanik Pula 0
Osijek 4
Solin 1
Rudes 2
NK Libertas Novska 1
HNK Gorica 3
Karlovac 5
Belisce 0
NK Dinamo Predavac 0
Din. Zagreb 6
Kurilovec 5
Oriolik 0
Neretva 1
Istra 1961 2
1/8-finals
Mladost Zdralovi 1
Rijeka 4
Cibalia 0
Hajduk Split 1
Bijelo Brdo 0
Slaven Belupo 3
Lok. Zagreb 4
Varteks Varazdin (2011) 0
Varazdin 2
Osijek 1
Rudes 0
HNK Gorica 6
Karlovac 0
Din. Zagreb 7
Kurilovec 2
Istra 1961 1
Quarter-finals
Rijeka 3
Hajduk Split 2
Slaven Belupo 2
Lok. Zagreb 1
Varazdin 1
HNK Gorica 3
Din. Zagreb 2
Kurilovec 0
Semi-finals
Rijeka 2
Slaven Belupo 0
HNK Gorica 3
Din. Zagreb 6
Final
Rijeka 0
Din. Zagreb 2