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Varzim vs AFS

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
49'
87' Event

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Varzim
30%
Draws
31%
AFS
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Varzim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Varzim lately — more wins on the board than AFS.
  • Model gives Varzim a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • AFS have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Varzim Clean Sheet 20%
AFS Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varzim AFS
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 5
Draws 6 11
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.07 1.04
Goals Conceded 1 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2025 Club Friendly
Varzim vs AFS
1:1
Jul 13, 2024 Club Friendly
AFS vs Varzim
2:1
Jul 26, 2023 Club Friendly
AFS vs Varzim
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varzim 42 / 100
AFS 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varzim AFS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Varzim's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

AFS's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.

Solid form: Varzim remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Varzim VS AFS
1 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Varzim

(Home)
16 Aug
Varzim
2 : 1
AD Marco 09
09 Aug
Trofense
0 : 1
Varzim
02 Aug
Varzim
1 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes
29 Jul
Tirsense
0 : 1
Varzim
15 Jul
Tondela
1 : 0
Varzim
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AFS

(Away)
17 Aug
FC Felgueiras
1 : 1
AFS
09 Aug
AFS
0 : 1
Sporting CP B
31 Jul
AFS
1 : 1
Trofense
29 Jul
AFS
3 : 0
SC Vianense
25 Jul
Pacos Ferreira
0 : 2
AFS
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